Recent forecasts from global and regional models indicate Moscow will see persistent cloud cover, light to moderate rain, and southeasterly winds of 3–6 m/s through September 22, limiting radiative cooling overnight and supporting minimum temperatures near 13°C. Official guidance shows nighttime readings bottoming out around 13–14°C before dawn, with daytime highs reaching 17–19°C under overcast skies. This aligns with late-September climatology for the region, where typical minima hover near 9°C but current synoptic patterns favor warmer conditions. Trader consensus at 55% for 13°C reflects the narrow range of model outputs, with lower probabilities assigned to colder thresholds given the absence of clear-sky or northerly flow that could drive sharper drops. Updated model runs and official observations will refine the exact low as the night progresses.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Moscow on September 22?
Lowest temperature in Moscow on September 22?
13°C 97.5%
7°C or below <1%
8°C <1%
9°C <1%
$115 KL.
$115 KL.
Sep 22, 2026
7°C or below
No
8°C
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
Yes
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C or higher
No
13°C 97.5%
7°C or below <1%
8°C <1%
9°C <1%
$115 KL.
$115 KL.
Sep 22, 2026
7°C or below
$15 KL.
No
8°C
$15 KL.
No
9°C
$15 KL.
No
10°C
$15 KL.
No
11°C
$35 KL.
No
12°C
$20 KL.
No
13°C
$0 KL.
Yes
14°C
$0 KL.
No
15°C
$0 KL.
No
16°C
$0 KL.
No
17°C or higher
$0 KL.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from global and regional models indicate Moscow will see persistent cloud cover, light to moderate rain, and southeasterly winds of 3–6 m/s through September 22, limiting radiative cooling overnight and supporting minimum temperatures near 13°C. Official guidance shows nighttime readings bottoming out around 13–14°C before dawn, with daytime highs reaching 17–19°C under overcast skies. This aligns with late-September climatology for the region, where typical minima hover near 9°C but current synoptic patterns favor warmer conditions. Trader consensus at 55% for 13°C reflects the narrow range of model outputs, with lower probabilities assigned to colder thresholds given the absence of clear-sky or northerly flow that could drive sharper drops. Updated model runs and official observations will refine the exact low as the night progresses.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 20, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Khối lượng
$115Ngày kết thúc
Sep 22, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 20, 2026, 12:31 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from global and regional models indicate Moscow will see persistent cloud cover, light to moderate rain, and southeasterly winds of 3–6 m/s through September 22, limiting radiative cooling overnight and supporting minimum temperatures near 13°C. Official guidance shows nighttime readings bottoming out around 13–14°C before dawn, with daytime highs reaching 17–19°C under overcast skies. This aligns with late-September climatology for the region, where typical minima hover near 9°C but current synoptic patterns favor warmer conditions. Trader consensus at 55% for 13°C reflects the narrow range of model outputs, with lower probabilities assigned to colder thresholds given the absence of clear-sky or northerly flow that could drive sharper drops. Updated model runs and official observations will refine the exact low as the night progresses.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$115Ngày kết thúc
Sep 22, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 20, 2026, 12:31 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
Recent forecasts from global and regional models indicate Moscow will see persistent cloud cover, light to moderate rain, and southeasterly winds of 3–6 m/s through September 22, limiting radiative cooling overnight and supporting minimum temperatures near 13°C. Official guidance shows nighttime readings bottoming out around 13–14°C before dawn, with daytime highs reaching 17–19°C under overcast skies. This aligns with late-September climatology for the region, where typical minima hover near 9°C but current synoptic patterns favor warmer conditions. Trader consensus at 55% for 13°C reflects the narrow range of model outputs, with lower probabilities assigned to colder thresholds given the absence of clear-sky or northerly flow that could drive sharper drops. Updated model runs and official observations will refine the exact low as the night progresses.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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