Recent short-range forecasts from multiple models indicate overnight lows in Munich on September 22 around 6–8°C under mostly clear skies and light northwest winds, consistent with radiative cooling after daytime highs near 17–18°C. This setup favors minimum temperatures near the historical average low of 9.3°C for the date but with downside potential from stronger cooling if winds remain calm. Trader consensus clustering around 4–6°C reflects uncertainty in exact dew-point depression and boundary-layer mixing, with GFS and ECMWF runs showing minor spread in minimum values. Updated model guidance and surface observations over the next 48 hours will likely narrow the range ahead of market resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Munich on September 22?
4°C 40%
5°C 40%
6°C 29%
3°C 19%
2°C or below
11%
3°C
19%
4°C
40%
5°C
40%
6°C
29%
7°C
19%
8°C
11%
9°C
7%
10°C
5%
11°C
4%
12°C or higher
4%
4°C 40%
5°C 40%
6°C 29%
3°C 19%
2°C or below
11%
3°C
19%
4°C
40%
5°C
40%
6°C
29%
7°C
19%
8°C
11%
9°C
7%
10°C
5%
11°C
4%
12°C or higher
4%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 20, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range forecasts from multiple models indicate overnight lows in Munich on September 22 around 6–8°C under mostly clear skies and light northwest winds, consistent with radiative cooling after daytime highs near 17–18°C. This setup favors minimum temperatures near the historical average low of 9.3°C for the date but with downside potential from stronger cooling if winds remain calm. Trader consensus clustering around 4–6°C reflects uncertainty in exact dew-point depression and boundary-layer mixing, with GFS and ECMWF runs showing minor spread in minimum values. Updated model guidance and surface observations over the next 48 hours will likely narrow the range ahead of market resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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