**Forecast models from European meteorological agencies indicate a minimum temperature of 12°C or below for Munich on September 8, 2026, driving the 99.6% market-implied probability.** Overnight temperatures are projected to reach this threshold under clear to partly cloudy conditions with light southerly winds, consistent with the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 11.1°C and recent September minima that frequently dip into single digits or low teens. Current observational trends and model consensus, including runs showing dew points supporting radiative cooling, reinforce trader confidence in this outcome. A realistic challenge would require sustained cloud cover or warmer advection that keeps readings above 12°C through the overnight period, though such revisions appear unlikely given the latest guidance.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Munich on September 8?
Lowest temperature in Munich on September 8?
12°C or below 99.6%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 8, 2026
12°C or below
100%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C or higher
<1%
12°C or below 99.6%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 8, 2026
12°C or below
$287 KL.
100%
13°C
$257 KL.
<1%
14°C
$409 KL.
<1%
15°C
$497 KL.
<1%
16°C
$500 KL.
<1%
17°C
$57 KL.
<1%
18°C
$78 KL.
<1%
19°C
$178 KL.
<1%
20°C
$87 KL.
<1%
21°C
$91 KL.
<1%
22°C or higher
$91 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from European meteorological agencies indicate a minimum temperature of 12°C or below for Munich on September 8, 2026, driving the 99.6% market-implied probability.** Overnight temperatures are projected to reach this threshold under clear to partly cloudy conditions with light southerly winds, consistent with the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 11.1°C and recent September minima that frequently dip into single digits or low teens. Current observational trends and model consensus, including runs showing dew points supporting radiative cooling, reinforce trader confidence in this outcome. A realistic challenge would require sustained cloud cover or warmer advection that keeps readings above 12°C through the overnight period, though such revisions appear unlikely given the latest guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 6, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Khối lượng
$2,531Ngày kết thúc
Sep 8, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 6, 2026, 12:29 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from European meteorological agencies indicate a minimum temperature of 12°C or below for Munich on September 8, 2026, driving the 99.6% market-implied probability.** Overnight temperatures are projected to reach this threshold under clear to partly cloudy conditions with light southerly winds, consistent with the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 11.1°C and recent September minima that frequently dip into single digits or low teens. Current observational trends and model consensus, including runs showing dew points supporting radiative cooling, reinforce trader confidence in this outcome. A realistic challenge would require sustained cloud cover or warmer advection that keeps readings above 12°C through the overnight period, though such revisions appear unlikely given the latest guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$2,531Ngày kết thúc
Sep 8, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 6, 2026, 12:29 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models from European meteorological agencies indicate a minimum temperature of 12°C or below for Munich on September 8, 2026, driving the 99.6% market-implied probability.** Overnight temperatures are projected to reach this threshold under clear to partly cloudy conditions with light southerly winds, consistent with the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 11.1°C and recent September minima that frequently dip into single digits or low teens. Current observational trends and model consensus, including runs showing dew points supporting radiative cooling, reinforce trader confidence in this outcome. A realistic challenge would require sustained cloud cover or warmer advection that keeps readings above 12°C through the overnight period, though such revisions appear unlikely given the latest guidance.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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