Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather model guidance supports a minimum temperature in the upper 60s for New York City on August 21, aligning with the market's leading 68-69°F bin at 41.5% implied probability. This positioning reflects typical late-summer conditions under a building high-pressure ridge, with limited cold-air advection and overnight lows moderated by urban heat island effects and dew points in the mid-60s. The Almanac and extended forecasts note a cooler trend for the Aug 21-31 period, supporting secondary clustering around 66-67°F. Historical Central Park normals hover near 67°F, and current short-range runs show low variability absent significant frontal passage or marine influence. Key upcoming data include the next NWS model cycles and local observations that could refine the exact low before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in NYC on August 21?
Lowest temperature in NYC on August 21?
68-69°F 42%
66-67°F 25%
70-71°F 16%
64-65°F 6%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 21, 2026
57°F or below
1%
58-59°F
1%
60-61°F
2%
62-63°F
4%
64-65°F
6%
66-67°F
25%
68-69°F
42%
70-71°F
16%
72-73°F
4%
74-75°F
1%
76°F or higher
1%
68-69°F 42%
66-67°F 25%
70-71°F 16%
64-65°F 6%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 21, 2026
57°F or below
$158 KL.
1%
58-59°F
$10 KL.
1%
60-61°F
$15 KL.
2%
62-63°F
$51 KL.
4%
64-65°F
$97 KL.
6%
66-67°F
$0 KL.
25%
68-69°F
$51 KL.
42%
70-71°F
$121 KL.
16%
72-73°F
$64 KL.
4%
74-75°F
$238 KL.
1%
76°F or higher
$158 KL.
1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather model guidance supports a minimum temperature in the upper 60s for New York City on August 21, aligning with the market's leading 68-69°F bin at 41.5% implied probability. This positioning reflects typical late-summer conditions under a building high-pressure ridge, with limited cold-air advection and overnight lows moderated by urban heat island effects and dew points in the mid-60s. The Almanac and extended forecasts note a cooler trend for the Aug 21-31 period, supporting secondary clustering around 66-67°F. Historical Central Park normals hover near 67°F, and current short-range runs show low variability absent significant frontal passage or marine influence. Key upcoming data include the next NWS model cycles and local observations that could refine the exact low before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 19, 2026, 9:28 PM ET
Khối lượng
$955Ngày kết thúc
Aug 21, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 19, 2026, 9:28 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather model guidance supports a minimum temperature in the upper 60s for New York City on August 21, aligning with the market's leading 68-69°F bin at 41.5% implied probability. This positioning reflects typical late-summer conditions under a building high-pressure ridge, with limited cold-air advection and overnight lows moderated by urban heat island effects and dew points in the mid-60s. The Almanac and extended forecasts note a cooler trend for the Aug 21-31 period, supporting secondary clustering around 66-67°F. Historical Central Park normals hover near 67°F, and current short-range runs show low variability absent significant frontal passage or marine influence. Key upcoming data include the next NWS model cycles and local observations that could refine the exact low before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$955Ngày kết thúc
Aug 21, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 19, 2026, 9:28 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather model guidance supports a minimum temperature in the upper 60s for New York City on August 21, aligning with the market's leading 68-69°F bin at 41.5% implied probability. This positioning reflects typical late-summer conditions under a building high-pressure ridge, with limited cold-air advection and overnight lows moderated by urban heat island effects and dew points in the mid-60s. The Almanac and extended forecasts note a cooler trend for the Aug 21-31 period, supporting secondary clustering around 66-67°F. Historical Central Park normals hover near 67°F, and current short-range runs show low variability absent significant frontal passage or marine influence. Key upcoming data include the next NWS model cycles and local observations that could refine the exact low before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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