Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a minimum temperature in Paris on September 21 likely falling between 11–13°C, driven by clear to partly cloudy skies overnight that promote radiative cooling after daytime highs near 22–24°C. Lower probabilities for 9°C or below reflect limited potential for stronger cooling under light northerly winds and moderate humidity, while the tight spread between 10°C and 11°C outcomes stems from small differences in predicted cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing. Historical September averages near 11°C provide context, but current high-pressure influence and recent drier conditions support the market's focus on these thresholds. Updated model runs and official Météo-France observations through the night will refine the exact low before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Paris on September 21?
10°C 34%
11°C 32%
9°C or below 22%
13°C 20%
9°C or below
22%
10°C
34%
11°C
32%
12°C
17%
13°C
20%
14°C
3%
15°C
2%
16°C
2%
17°C
2%
18°C
2%
19°C or higher
2%
10°C 34%
11°C 32%
9°C or below 22%
13°C 20%
9°C or below
22%
10°C
34%
11°C
32%
12°C
17%
13°C
20%
14°C
3%
15°C
2%
16°C
2%
17°C
2%
18°C
2%
19°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 19, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a minimum temperature in Paris on September 21 likely falling between 11–13°C, driven by clear to partly cloudy skies overnight that promote radiative cooling after daytime highs near 22–24°C. Lower probabilities for 9°C or below reflect limited potential for stronger cooling under light northerly winds and moderate humidity, while the tight spread between 10°C and 11°C outcomes stems from small differences in predicted cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing. Historical September averages near 11°C provide context, but current high-pressure influence and recent drier conditions support the market's focus on these thresholds. Updated model runs and official Météo-France observations through the night will refine the exact low before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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