Latest numerical weather prediction runs from major models indicate overnight lows in Paris on September 26 will likely settle in the 14–16°C range under a stable anticyclonic regime with light northerly flow and minimal cloud cover, supporting the market's elevated implied odds around the mid-teens. These conditions favor limited radiational cooling compared to the long-term average low of 10.6°C for the date, though boundary-layer moisture and subtle wind shifts could still produce isolated pockets several degrees cooler. Ensemble spread remains modest this close to the event, with Météo-France and ECMWF guidance showing strong consensus on the absence of significant cold advection. Updated model cycles and surface observations over the next 48 hours will further constrain the precise minimum ahead of resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Paris on September 26?
Lowest temperature in Paris on September 26?
10°C or below 59%
14°C 37%
11°C 35%
16°C 35%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 26, 2026
10°C or below
59%
11°C
35%
12°C
19%
13°C
27%
14°C
37%
15°C
18%
16°C
35%
17°C
35%
18°C
5%
19°C
5%
20°C or higher
1%
10°C or below 59%
14°C 37%
11°C 35%
16°C 35%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 26, 2026
10°C or below
$81 KL.
59%
11°C
$0 KL.
35%
12°C
$0 KL.
19%
13°C
$0 KL.
27%
14°C
$25 KL.
37%
15°C
$0 KL.
18%
16°C
$0 KL.
35%
17°C
$0 KL.
35%
18°C
$0 KL.
5%
19°C
$0 KL.
5%
20°C or higher
$0 KL.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction runs from major models indicate overnight lows in Paris on September 26 will likely settle in the 14–16°C range under a stable anticyclonic regime with light northerly flow and minimal cloud cover, supporting the market's elevated implied odds around the mid-teens. These conditions favor limited radiational cooling compared to the long-term average low of 10.6°C for the date, though boundary-layer moisture and subtle wind shifts could still produce isolated pockets several degrees cooler. Ensemble spread remains modest this close to the event, with Météo-France and ECMWF guidance showing strong consensus on the absence of significant cold advection. Updated model cycles and surface observations over the next 48 hours will further constrain the precise minimum ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 24, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Khối lượng
$106Ngày kết thúc
Sep 26, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 24, 2026, 12:29 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbNgười giải quyết
0x69c47de9d...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction runs from major models indicate overnight lows in Paris on September 26 will likely settle in the 14–16°C range under a stable anticyclonic regime with light northerly flow and minimal cloud cover, supporting the market's elevated implied odds around the mid-teens. These conditions favor limited radiational cooling compared to the long-term average low of 10.6°C for the date, though boundary-layer moisture and subtle wind shifts could still produce isolated pockets several degrees cooler. Ensemble spread remains modest this close to the event, with Météo-France and ECMWF guidance showing strong consensus on the absence of significant cold advection. Updated model cycles and surface observations over the next 48 hours will further constrain the precise minimum ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$106Ngày kết thúc
Sep 26, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 24, 2026, 12:29 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbNgười giải quyết
0x69c47de9d...Latest numerical weather prediction runs from major models indicate overnight lows in Paris on September 26 will likely settle in the 14–16°C range under a stable anticyclonic regime with light northerly flow and minimal cloud cover, supporting the market's elevated implied odds around the mid-teens. These conditions favor limited radiational cooling compared to the long-term average low of 10.6°C for the date, though boundary-layer moisture and subtle wind shifts could still produce isolated pockets several degrees cooler. Ensemble spread remains modest this close to the event, with Météo-France and ECMWF guidance showing strong consensus on the absence of significant cold advection. Updated model cycles and surface observations over the next 48 hours will further constrain the precise minimum ahead of resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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