**Latest numerical weather prediction models from sources including WeatherBug, PredictWind, and regional Chinese meteorological services converge on an overnight low near 19°C for Qingdao on September 21, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with light northerly winds.** This places the minimum in the 18–20°C range, consistent with September climatology (average lows ~18°C) as the region transitions from summer monsoon influence to cooler autumn patterns. Key differentiating factors among the tightly clustered market outcomes (15–20°C at ~48–50% implied probability) include small variations in cloud cover that modulate radiative cooling, wind-driven boundary-layer mixing, and coastal sea-breeze effects that can keep minimums slightly elevated. Model ensembles show modest spread in the exact timing and magnitude of the nocturnal minimum, with any increase in cloudiness or stronger onshore flow likely to push readings toward the higher end of the 18–20°C band while clearer, calmer conditions could allow brief dips closer to 17°C. Updated short-range model runs and local observations over the next 12–18 hours will refine the precise value before market resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Qingdao on September 21?
Lowest temperature in Qingdao on September 21?
15°C or below 100%
16°C 97%
20°C 97%
17°C 50%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 21, 2026
15°C or below
100%
16°C
97%
17°C
50%
18°C
21%
19°C
47%
20°C
97%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C or higher
<1%
15°C or below 100%
16°C 97%
20°C 97%
17°C 50%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 21, 2026
15°C or below
$0 KL.
100%
16°C
$0 KL.
97%
17°C
$0 KL.
50%
18°C
$17 KL.
21%
19°C
$75 KL.
47%
20°C
$0 KL.
97%
21°C
$37 KL.
<1%
22°C
$37 KL.
<1%
23°C
$31 KL.
<1%
24°C
$31 KL.
<1%
25°C or higher
$36 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Latest numerical weather prediction models from sources including WeatherBug, PredictWind, and regional Chinese meteorological services converge on an overnight low near 19°C for Qingdao on September 21, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with light northerly winds.** This places the minimum in the 18–20°C range, consistent with September climatology (average lows ~18°C) as the region transitions from summer monsoon influence to cooler autumn patterns. Key differentiating factors among the tightly clustered market outcomes (15–20°C at ~48–50% implied probability) include small variations in cloud cover that modulate radiative cooling, wind-driven boundary-layer mixing, and coastal sea-breeze effects that can keep minimums slightly elevated. Model ensembles show modest spread in the exact timing and magnitude of the nocturnal minimum, with any increase in cloudiness or stronger onshore flow likely to push readings toward the higher end of the 18–20°C band while clearer, calmer conditions could allow brief dips closer to 17°C. Updated short-range model runs and local observations over the next 12–18 hours will refine the precise value before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 19, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
Khối lượng
$264Ngày kết thúc
Sep 21, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 19, 2026, 12:32 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Latest numerical weather prediction models from sources including WeatherBug, PredictWind, and regional Chinese meteorological services converge on an overnight low near 19°C for Qingdao on September 21, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with light northerly winds.** This places the minimum in the 18–20°C range, consistent with September climatology (average lows ~18°C) as the region transitions from summer monsoon influence to cooler autumn patterns. Key differentiating factors among the tightly clustered market outcomes (15–20°C at ~48–50% implied probability) include small variations in cloud cover that modulate radiative cooling, wind-driven boundary-layer mixing, and coastal sea-breeze effects that can keep minimums slightly elevated. Model ensembles show modest spread in the exact timing and magnitude of the nocturnal minimum, with any increase in cloudiness or stronger onshore flow likely to push readings toward the higher end of the 18–20°C band while clearer, calmer conditions could allow brief dips closer to 17°C. Updated short-range model runs and local observations over the next 12–18 hours will refine the precise value before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$264Ngày kết thúc
Sep 21, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 19, 2026, 12:32 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...**Latest numerical weather prediction models from sources including WeatherBug, PredictWind, and regional Chinese meteorological services converge on an overnight low near 19°C for Qingdao on September 21, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with light northerly winds.** This places the minimum in the 18–20°C range, consistent with September climatology (average lows ~18°C) as the region transitions from summer monsoon influence to cooler autumn patterns. Key differentiating factors among the tightly clustered market outcomes (15–20°C at ~48–50% implied probability) include small variations in cloud cover that modulate radiative cooling, wind-driven boundary-layer mixing, and coastal sea-breeze effects that can keep minimums slightly elevated. Model ensembles show modest spread in the exact timing and magnitude of the nocturnal minimum, with any increase in cloudiness or stronger onshore flow likely to push readings toward the higher end of the 18–20°C band while clearer, calmer conditions could allow brief dips closer to 17°C. Updated short-range model runs and local observations over the next 12–18 hours will refine the precise value before market resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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