Recent Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts indicate a minimum of 23°C for Seoul-Incheon on August 23 under mostly cloudy conditions with 30% precipitation probability, consistent with ensemble model guidance and historical August climatology of 22–24°C overnight lows. Trader consensus clustering around 24–25°C (combined ~52% implied probability) reflects ongoing uncertainty in short-range model runs, where subtle differences in cloud thickness, boundary-layer humidity, and light wind speeds can shift nocturnal radiative cooling by 1–2°C. Persistent moisture from prior showers further reduces cooling potential by limiting surface heat loss, while the urban heat island effect in the Seoul metropolitan area supports the upper end of the distribution. Updated KMA briefings and next model cycles will refine resolution thresholds ahead of the observation window.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 23?
Lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 23?
25°C 29%
24°C 25%
26°C 14%
22°C 10%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 23, 2026
20°C or below
2%
21°C
3%
22°C
10%
23°C
9%
24°C
25%
25°C
29%
26°C
14%
27°C
6%
28°C
3%
29°C
2%
30°C or higher
1%
25°C 29%
24°C 25%
26°C 14%
22°C 10%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 23, 2026
20°C or below
$5 KL.
2%
21°C
$5 KL.
3%
22°C
$5 KL.
10%
23°C
$0 KL.
9%
24°C
$0 KL.
25%
25°C
$16 KL.
29%
26°C
$0 KL.
14%
27°C
$0 KL.
6%
28°C
$5 KL.
3%
29°C
$5 KL.
2%
30°C or higher
$5 KL.
1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts indicate a minimum of 23°C for Seoul-Incheon on August 23 under mostly cloudy conditions with 30% precipitation probability, consistent with ensemble model guidance and historical August climatology of 22–24°C overnight lows. Trader consensus clustering around 24–25°C (combined ~52% implied probability) reflects ongoing uncertainty in short-range model runs, where subtle differences in cloud thickness, boundary-layer humidity, and light wind speeds can shift nocturnal radiative cooling by 1–2°C. Persistent moisture from prior showers further reduces cooling potential by limiting surface heat loss, while the urban heat island effect in the Seoul metropolitan area supports the upper end of the distribution. Updated KMA briefings and next model cycles will refine resolution thresholds ahead of the observation window.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 21, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Khối lượng
$46Ngày kết thúc
Aug 23, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 21, 2026, 12:29 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts indicate a minimum of 23°C for Seoul-Incheon on August 23 under mostly cloudy conditions with 30% precipitation probability, consistent with ensemble model guidance and historical August climatology of 22–24°C overnight lows. Trader consensus clustering around 24–25°C (combined ~52% implied probability) reflects ongoing uncertainty in short-range model runs, where subtle differences in cloud thickness, boundary-layer humidity, and light wind speeds can shift nocturnal radiative cooling by 1–2°C. Persistent moisture from prior showers further reduces cooling potential by limiting surface heat loss, while the urban heat island effect in the Seoul metropolitan area supports the upper end of the distribution. Updated KMA briefings and next model cycles will refine resolution thresholds ahead of the observation window.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$46Ngày kết thúc
Aug 23, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 21, 2026, 12:29 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts indicate a minimum of 23°C for Seoul-Incheon on August 23 under mostly cloudy conditions with 30% precipitation probability, consistent with ensemble model guidance and historical August climatology of 22–24°C overnight lows. Trader consensus clustering around 24–25°C (combined ~52% implied probability) reflects ongoing uncertainty in short-range model runs, where subtle differences in cloud thickness, boundary-layer humidity, and light wind speeds can shift nocturnal radiative cooling by 1–2°C. Persistent moisture from prior showers further reduces cooling potential by limiting surface heat loss, while the urban heat island effect in the Seoul metropolitan area supports the upper end of the distribution. Updated KMA briefings and next model cycles will refine resolution thresholds ahead of the observation window.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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