**Current forecast models indicate overnight lows in Taipei on August 22 clustered around 25–26°C amid persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and scattered thunderstorms, aligning with the closely matched market-implied probabilities for 25–28°C outcomes.** In Taipei’s humid subtropical climate, frequent precipitation and limited radiative cooling under overcast skies typically prevent deeper drops, consistent with historical August minima near 26°C. Model consensus from sources like the Central Weather Administration and international ensembles shows minor spread driven by exact rain timing and light wind shifts, which can shift the recorded low by 1–2°C. Traders appear to price this uncertainty evenly across the 24–28°C band, reflecting the narrow but real variability in official observations for the 24-hour period ending at midnight local time. Updated model runs ahead of resolution may refine these odds.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Taipei on August 22?
Lowest temperature in Taipei on August 22?
25°C 28%
26°C 28%
27°C 28%
28°C 27%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 22, 2026
21°C or below
1%
22°C
9%
23°C
9%
24°C
26%
25°C
28%
26°C
28%
27°C
28%
28°C
27%
29°C
7%
30°C
9%
31°C or higher
8%
25°C 28%
26°C 28%
27°C 28%
28°C 27%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 22, 2026
21°C or below
$25 KL.
1%
22°C
$104 KL.
9%
23°C
$115 KL.
9%
24°C
$5 KL.
26%
25°C
$0 KL.
28%
26°C
$0 KL.
28%
27°C
$1 KL.
28%
28°C
$0 KL.
27%
29°C
$78 KL.
7%
30°C
$77 KL.
9%
31°C or higher
$22 KL.
8%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecast models indicate overnight lows in Taipei on August 22 clustered around 25–26°C amid persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and scattered thunderstorms, aligning with the closely matched market-implied probabilities for 25–28°C outcomes.**
In Taipei’s humid subtropical climate, frequent precipitation and limited radiative cooling under overcast skies typically prevent deeper drops, consistent with historical August minima near 26°C. Model consensus from sources like the Central Weather Administration and international ensembles shows minor spread driven by exact rain timing and light wind shifts, which can shift the recorded low by 1–2°C. Traders appear to price this uncertainty evenly across the 24–28°C band, reflecting the narrow but real variability in official observations for the 24-hour period ending at midnight local time. Updated model runs ahead of resolution may refine these odds.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 20, 2026, 1:32 PM ET
Khối lượng
$428Ngày kết thúc
Aug 22, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 20, 2026, 1:32 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecast models indicate overnight lows in Taipei on August 22 clustered around 25–26°C amid persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and scattered thunderstorms, aligning with the closely matched market-implied probabilities for 25–28°C outcomes.**
In Taipei’s humid subtropical climate, frequent precipitation and limited radiative cooling under overcast skies typically prevent deeper drops, consistent with historical August minima near 26°C. Model consensus from sources like the Central Weather Administration and international ensembles shows minor spread driven by exact rain timing and light wind shifts, which can shift the recorded low by 1–2°C. Traders appear to price this uncertainty evenly across the 24–28°C band, reflecting the narrow but real variability in official observations for the 24-hour period ending at midnight local time. Updated model runs ahead of resolution may refine these odds.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$428Ngày kết thúc
Aug 22, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 20, 2026, 1:32 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Current forecast models indicate overnight lows in Taipei on August 22 clustered around 25–26°C amid persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and scattered thunderstorms, aligning with the closely matched market-implied probabilities for 25–28°C outcomes.** In Taipei’s humid subtropical climate, frequent precipitation and limited radiative cooling under overcast skies typically prevent deeper drops, consistent with historical August minima near 26°C. Model consensus from sources like the Central Weather Administration and international ensembles shows minor spread driven by exact rain timing and light wind shifts, which can shift the recorded low by 1–2°C. Traders appear to price this uncertainty evenly across the 24–28°C band, reflecting the narrow but real variability in official observations for the 24-hour period ending at midnight local time. Updated model runs ahead of resolution may refine these odds.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp