Recent Japan Meteorological Agency guidance points to a Tokyo minimum of 26°C on August 27 amid cloudy skies and scattered showers, aligning with the market’s tight clustering around 26–27°C. Persistent low-level moisture, high humidity near 80–85%, and reduced nocturnal radiative cooling under cloud cover are the dominant factors moderating overnight temperatures following several days of 33–35°C highs. Model spreads in precipitation timing and cloud thickness create the narrow gap between 26°C and 27°C outcomes, as lighter rain or partial clearing could allow slightly greater cooling while heavier showers would anchor readings closer to 27°C. Official updates tomorrow morning will refine the precise threshold.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Tokyo on August 27?
27°C 37%
26°C 31%
28°C 21%
25°C 9%
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
9%
26°C
31%
27°C
37%
28°C
21%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
27°C 37%
26°C 31%
28°C 21%
25°C 9%
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
9%
26°C
31%
27°C
37%
28°C
21%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 25, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Japan Meteorological Agency guidance points to a Tokyo minimum of 26°C on August 27 amid cloudy skies and scattered showers, aligning with the market’s tight clustering around 26–27°C. Persistent low-level moisture, high humidity near 80–85%, and reduced nocturnal radiative cooling under cloud cover are the dominant factors moderating overnight temperatures following several days of 33–35°C highs. Model spreads in precipitation timing and cloud thickness create the narrow gap between 26°C and 27°C outcomes, as lighter rain or partial clearing could allow slightly greater cooling while heavier showers would anchor readings closer to 27°C. Official updates tomorrow morning will refine the precise threshold.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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