Recent forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global models point to an overnight low near 21°C in Tokyo on September 24, driven by clearing skies and light northwest winds after recent heavy rainfall and frontal passage. Partly cloudy conditions overnight will allow moderate radiative cooling, while dew points near 18–20°C and humidity around 80–90% limit further drops, consistent with late-September climatology where minima average 19–21°C. Ensemble guidance shows tight clustering around 20–22°C, with minimal risk of stronger advection or clear-sky extremes that could push readings to 19°C or below. This consensus underpins the market's 45.5% implied probability for 21°C as the leading outcome ahead of final observations.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Tokyo on September 24?
Lowest temperature in Tokyo on September 24?
21°C 46%
20°C 23%
22°C 22%
19°C 10%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 24, 2026
16°C or below
1%
17°C
1%
18°C
5%
19°C
10%
20°C
23%
21°C
46%
22°C
22%
23°C
5%
24°C
2%
25°C
1%
26°C or higher
1%
21°C 46%
20°C 23%
22°C 22%
19°C 10%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 24, 2026
16°C or below
$0 KL.
1%
17°C
$0 KL.
1%
18°C
$0 KL.
5%
19°C
$39 KL.
10%
20°C
$237 KL.
23%
21°C
$721 KL.
46%
22°C
$893 KL.
22%
23°C
$99 KL.
5%
24°C
$51 KL.
2%
25°C
$0 KL.
1%
26°C or higher
$0 KL.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global models point to an overnight low near 21°C in Tokyo on September 24, driven by clearing skies and light northwest winds after recent heavy rainfall and frontal passage. Partly cloudy conditions overnight will allow moderate radiative cooling, while dew points near 18–20°C and humidity around 80–90% limit further drops, consistent with late-September climatology where minima average 19–21°C. Ensemble guidance shows tight clustering around 20–22°C, with minimal risk of stronger advection or clear-sky extremes that could push readings to 19°C or below. This consensus underpins the market's 45.5% implied probability for 21°C as the leading outcome ahead of final observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 22, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Khối lượng
$2,040Ngày kết thúc
Sep 24, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 22, 2026, 12:30 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global models point to an overnight low near 21°C in Tokyo on September 24, driven by clearing skies and light northwest winds after recent heavy rainfall and frontal passage. Partly cloudy conditions overnight will allow moderate radiative cooling, while dew points near 18–20°C and humidity around 80–90% limit further drops, consistent with late-September climatology where minima average 19–21°C. Ensemble guidance shows tight clustering around 20–22°C, with minimal risk of stronger advection or clear-sky extremes that could push readings to 19°C or below. This consensus underpins the market's 45.5% implied probability for 21°C as the leading outcome ahead of final observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$2,040Ngày kết thúc
Sep 24, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 22, 2026, 12:30 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global models point to an overnight low near 21°C in Tokyo on September 24, driven by clearing skies and light northwest winds after recent heavy rainfall and frontal passage. Partly cloudy conditions overnight will allow moderate radiative cooling, while dew points near 18–20°C and humidity around 80–90% limit further drops, consistent with late-September climatology where minima average 19–21°C. Ensemble guidance shows tight clustering around 20–22°C, with minimal risk of stronger advection or clear-sky extremes that could push readings to 19°C or below. This consensus underpins the market's 45.5% implied probability for 21°C as the leading outcome ahead of final observations.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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