Current forecasts from multiple models indicate Toronto's overnight low on September 25 will likely settle near 10–12°C under clear to partly cloudy skies, light northerly winds, and high pressure promoting radiational cooling with dew points around 5–8°C. This setup favors temperatures near the historical average minimum of roughly 12°C, though slight variations in cloud cover or wind could shift the exact reading by 1–2°C. Market-implied odds near 42% for both 15°C or higher and 5°C or below reflect trader uncertainty over model spread and localized urban effects rather than strong consensus on extremes. New model runs and official updates from Environment and Climate Change Canada overnight will likely refine the range before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Toronto on September 25?
Lowest temperature in Toronto on September 25?
15°C or higher 85%
5°C or below 84%
7°C 22%
8°C 22%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 25, 2026
5°C or below
84%
6°C
21%
7°C
22%
8°C
22%
9°C
20%
10°C
21%
11°C
20%
12°C
20%
13°C
16%
14°C
15%
15°C or higher
85%
15°C or higher 85%
5°C or below 84%
7°C 22%
8°C 22%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 25, 2026
5°C or below
$10 KL.
84%
6°C
$8 KL.
21%
7°C
$0 KL.
22%
8°C
$0 KL.
22%
9°C
$0 KL.
20%
10°C
$0 KL.
21%
11°C
$0 KL.
20%
12°C
$0 KL.
20%
13°C
$10 KL.
16%
14°C
$10 KL.
15%
15°C or higher
$10 KL.
85%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple models indicate Toronto's overnight low on September 25 will likely settle near 10–12°C under clear to partly cloudy skies, light northerly winds, and high pressure promoting radiational cooling with dew points around 5–8°C. This setup favors temperatures near the historical average minimum of roughly 12°C, though slight variations in cloud cover or wind could shift the exact reading by 1–2°C. Market-implied odds near 42% for both 15°C or higher and 5°C or below reflect trader uncertainty over model spread and localized urban effects rather than strong consensus on extremes. New model runs and official updates from Environment and Climate Change Canada overnight will likely refine the range before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 23, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
Khối lượng
$48Ngày kết thúc
Sep 25, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 23, 2026, 8:29 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzNgười giải quyết
0x69c47de9d...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple models indicate Toronto's overnight low on September 25 will likely settle near 10–12°C under clear to partly cloudy skies, light northerly winds, and high pressure promoting radiational cooling with dew points around 5–8°C. This setup favors temperatures near the historical average minimum of roughly 12°C, though slight variations in cloud cover or wind could shift the exact reading by 1–2°C. Market-implied odds near 42% for both 15°C or higher and 5°C or below reflect trader uncertainty over model spread and localized urban effects rather than strong consensus on extremes. New model runs and official updates from Environment and Climate Change Canada overnight will likely refine the range before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$48Ngày kết thúc
Sep 25, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 23, 2026, 8:29 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzNgười giải quyết
0x69c47de9d...Current forecasts from multiple models indicate Toronto's overnight low on September 25 will likely settle near 10–12°C under clear to partly cloudy skies, light northerly winds, and high pressure promoting radiational cooling with dew points around 5–8°C. This setup favors temperatures near the historical average minimum of roughly 12°C, though slight variations in cloud cover or wind could shift the exact reading by 1–2°C. Market-implied odds near 42% for both 15°C or higher and 5°C or below reflect trader uncertainty over model spread and localized urban effects rather than strong consensus on extremes. New model runs and official updates from Environment and Climate Change Canada overnight will likely refine the range before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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