Recent forecasts from European meteorological models indicate a minimum temperature in Warsaw around 15–16°C on August 21, driven by overnight radiational cooling under variable cloud cover and scattered thundery showers associated with a weak frontal system. These conditions align with typical late-August patterns where daytime highs near 24–26°C give way to lows moderated by humidity and light winds, preventing sharper drops. Trader consensus reflects updated model runs showing limited deviation from historical averages of 13–15°C for the date, with low probabilities for extremes below 14°C or above 17°C given stable atmospheric pressure and absence of strong cold advection. Upcoming official observations from IMGW-PIB stations will determine final resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Warsaw on August 21?
Lowest temperature in Warsaw on August 21?
16°C 96%
15°C 30%
14°C 3%
13°C 2%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 21, 2026
12°C or below
1%
13°C
2%
14°C
3%
15°C
30%
16°C
96%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C or higher
<1%
16°C 96%
15°C 30%
14°C 3%
13°C 2%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 21, 2026
12°C or below
$645 KL.
1%
13°C
$119 KL.
2%
14°C
$75 KL.
3%
15°C
$0 KL.
30%
16°C
$108 KL.
96%
17°C
$1,970 KL.
<1%
18°C
$153 KL.
<1%
19°C
$129 KL.
<1%
20°C
$129 KL.
<1%
21°C
$129 KL.
<1%
22°C or higher
$160 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from European meteorological models indicate a minimum temperature in Warsaw around 15–16°C on August 21, driven by overnight radiational cooling under variable cloud cover and scattered thundery showers associated with a weak frontal system. These conditions align with typical late-August patterns where daytime highs near 24–26°C give way to lows moderated by humidity and light winds, preventing sharper drops. Trader consensus reflects updated model runs showing limited deviation from historical averages of 13–15°C for the date, with low probabilities for extremes below 14°C or above 17°C given stable atmospheric pressure and absence of strong cold advection. Upcoming official observations from IMGW-PIB stations will determine final resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 20, 2026, 1:29 PM ET
Khối lượng
$3,617Ngày kết thúc
Aug 21, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 20, 2026, 1:29 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from European meteorological models indicate a minimum temperature in Warsaw around 15–16°C on August 21, driven by overnight radiational cooling under variable cloud cover and scattered thundery showers associated with a weak frontal system. These conditions align with typical late-August patterns where daytime highs near 24–26°C give way to lows moderated by humidity and light winds, preventing sharper drops. Trader consensus reflects updated model runs showing limited deviation from historical averages of 13–15°C for the date, with low probabilities for extremes below 14°C or above 17°C given stable atmospheric pressure and absence of strong cold advection. Upcoming official observations from IMGW-PIB stations will determine final resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$3,617Ngày kết thúc
Aug 21, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 20, 2026, 1:29 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from European meteorological models indicate a minimum temperature in Warsaw around 15–16°C on August 21, driven by overnight radiational cooling under variable cloud cover and scattered thundery showers associated with a weak frontal system. These conditions align with typical late-August patterns where daytime highs near 24–26°C give way to lows moderated by humidity and light winds, preventing sharper drops. Trader consensus reflects updated model runs showing limited deviation from historical averages of 13–15°C for the date, with low probabilities for extremes below 14°C or above 17°C given stable atmospheric pressure and absence of strong cold advection. Upcoming official observations from IMGW-PIB stations will determine final resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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