**Trader consensus has converged on a 6°C low for Warsaw on September 13, 2026, with market-implied odds exceeding 99% for that exact outcome.** This positioning aligns with official observational data from Polish meteorological stations, which recorded an overnight minimum near 5.6–6°C under clear, calm conditions typical of early autumn radiative cooling. Surface temperatures dropped steadily after sunset as longwave radiation escaped with minimal cloud cover or wind to retain heat, consistent with climatological norms for mid-September in the region. Recent model runs and station reports showed little deviation from this trajectory, leaving scant room for warmer or colder extremes. A post-event data revision or use of an alternate reference station could theoretically alter the final recorded value, though such adjustments are uncommon once preliminary figures are confirmed.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Warsaw on September 13?
Lowest temperature in Warsaw on September 13?
6°C 100.0%
5°C or below <1%
7°C <1%
8°C <1%
$1,992 KL.
$1,992 KL.
Sep 13, 2026
5°C or below
No
6°C
Yes
7°C
No
8°C
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C or higher
No
6°C 100.0%
5°C or below <1%
7°C <1%
8°C <1%
$1,992 KL.
$1,992 KL.
Sep 13, 2026
5°C or below
$255 KL.
No
6°C
$397 KL.
Yes
7°C
$566 KL.
No
8°C
$74 KL.
No
9°C
$304 KL.
No
10°C
$228 KL.
No
11°C
$58 KL.
No
12°C
$52 KL.
No
13°C
$0 KL.
No
14°C
$25 KL.
No
15°C or higher
$33 KL.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus has converged on a 6°C low for Warsaw on September 13, 2026, with market-implied odds exceeding 99% for that exact outcome.** This positioning aligns with official observational data from Polish meteorological stations, which recorded an overnight minimum near 5.6–6°C under clear, calm conditions typical of early autumn radiative cooling. Surface temperatures dropped steadily after sunset as longwave radiation escaped with minimal cloud cover or wind to retain heat, consistent with climatological norms for mid-September in the region. Recent model runs and station reports showed little deviation from this trajectory, leaving scant room for warmer or colder extremes. A post-event data revision or use of an alternate reference station could theoretically alter the final recorded value, though such adjustments are uncommon once preliminary figures are confirmed.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Khối lượng
$1,992Ngày kết thúc
Sep 13, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus has converged on a 6°C low for Warsaw on September 13, 2026, with market-implied odds exceeding 99% for that exact outcome.** This positioning aligns with official observational data from Polish meteorological stations, which recorded an overnight minimum near 5.6–6°C under clear, calm conditions typical of early autumn radiative cooling. Surface temperatures dropped steadily after sunset as longwave radiation escaped with minimal cloud cover or wind to retain heat, consistent with climatological norms for mid-September in the region. Recent model runs and station reports showed little deviation from this trajectory, leaving scant room for warmer or colder extremes. A post-event data revision or use of an alternate reference station could theoretically alter the final recorded value, though such adjustments are uncommon once preliminary figures are confirmed.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$1,992Ngày kết thúc
Sep 13, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
**Trader consensus has converged on a 6°C low for Warsaw on September 13, 2026, with market-implied odds exceeding 99% for that exact outcome.** This positioning aligns with official observational data from Polish meteorological stations, which recorded an overnight minimum near 5.6–6°C under clear, calm conditions typical of early autumn radiative cooling. Surface temperatures dropped steadily after sunset as longwave radiation escaped with minimal cloud cover or wind to retain heat, consistent with climatological norms for mid-September in the region. Recent model runs and station reports showed little deviation from this trajectory, leaving scant room for warmer or colder extremes. A post-event data revision or use of an alternate reference station could theoretically alter the final recorded value, though such adjustments are uncommon once preliminary figures are confirmed.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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