**Forecast models for September 22 in Warsaw indicate a minimum temperature most likely between 8–12°C under northwest winds and lingering showers, with highs near 15–17°C.** Recent model runs from sources like globalmeteo, Yr.no, and others converge on overnight lows around 9–11°C amid partly cloudy to overcast skies and moderate humidity, following a period of cooler, unsettled weather. This central range fuels the near-even market split between the 4°C-or-below and 14°C-or-higher outcomes, as traders price in uncertainty around exact timing of clearing skies, wind shifts, or localized cooling that could push the daily minimum toward either tail. Historical September minima in Warsaw average near 10°C, providing context for the current setup, with updated forecasts expected from agencies like IMGW as the day approaches.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Warsaw on September 22?
4°C or below 91%
14°C or higher 91%
9°C 37%
10°C 37%
4°C or below
91%
5°C
9%
6°C
9%
7°C
35%
8°C
25%
9°C
37%
10°C
37%
11°C
16%
12°C
36%
13°C
14%
14°C or higher
91%
4°C or below 91%
14°C or higher 91%
9°C 37%
10°C 37%
4°C or below
91%
5°C
9%
6°C
9%
7°C
35%
8°C
25%
9°C
37%
10°C
37%
11°C
16%
12°C
36%
13°C
14%
14°C or higher
91%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 20, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models for September 22 in Warsaw indicate a minimum temperature most likely between 8–12°C under northwest winds and lingering showers, with highs near 15–17°C.** Recent model runs from sources like globalmeteo, Yr.no, and others converge on overnight lows around 9–11°C amid partly cloudy to overcast skies and moderate humidity, following a period of cooler, unsettled weather. This central range fuels the near-even market split between the 4°C-or-below and 14°C-or-higher outcomes, as traders price in uncertainty around exact timing of clearing skies, wind shifts, or localized cooling that could push the daily minimum toward either tail. Historical September minima in Warsaw average near 10°C, providing context for the current setup, with updated forecasts expected from agencies like IMGW as the day approaches.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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