Recent forecasts from meteorological models, including GFS and ECMWF runs, indicate a minimum temperature of 13°C for Warsaw on September 20, 2026, driven by persistent rain, moderate southwesterly to westerly winds around 10-15 mph, and high cloud cover that limits radiative cooling overnight. Official observations and ensemble consensus place the overnight low near this threshold amid unsettled Atlantic-influenced conditions typical for late September in central Poland. Trader positioning at 92% implied probability on 13°C reflects this alignment with authoritative guidance, though minor downward revisions could occur if winds weaken further or if localized clearing allows temperatures to dip to 12°C or below before dawn. Updated model outputs and station readings near resolution will determine final verification.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Warsaw on September 20?
Lowest temperature in Warsaw on September 20?
13°C 99.5%
12°C 74%
11°C or below 72%
14°C <1%
$8,748 KL.
$8,748 KL.
Sep 20, 2026
11°C or below
72%
12°C
74%
13°C
100%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C or higher
<1%
13°C 99.5%
12°C 74%
11°C or below 72%
14°C <1%
$8,748 KL.
$8,748 KL.
Sep 20, 2026
11°C or below
$0 KL.
72%
12°C
$10 KL.
74%
13°C
$425 KL.
100%
14°C
$8,007 KL.
<1%
15°C
$112 KL.
<1%
16°C
$37 KL.
<1%
17°C
$31 KL.
<1%
18°C
$37 KL.
<1%
19°C
$37 KL.
<1%
20°C
$37 KL.
<1%
21°C or higher
$15 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from meteorological models, including GFS and ECMWF runs, indicate a minimum temperature of 13°C for Warsaw on September 20, 2026, driven by persistent rain, moderate southwesterly to westerly winds around 10-15 mph, and high cloud cover that limits radiative cooling overnight. Official observations and ensemble consensus place the overnight low near this threshold amid unsettled Atlantic-influenced conditions typical for late September in central Poland. Trader positioning at 92% implied probability on 13°C reflects this alignment with authoritative guidance, though minor downward revisions could occur if winds weaken further or if localized clearing allows temperatures to dip to 12°C or below before dawn. Updated model outputs and station readings near resolution will determine final verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 18, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Khối lượng
$8,748Ngày kết thúc
Sep 20, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 18, 2026, 12:30 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from meteorological models, including GFS and ECMWF runs, indicate a minimum temperature of 13°C for Warsaw on September 20, 2026, driven by persistent rain, moderate southwesterly to westerly winds around 10-15 mph, and high cloud cover that limits radiative cooling overnight. Official observations and ensemble consensus place the overnight low near this threshold amid unsettled Atlantic-influenced conditions typical for late September in central Poland. Trader positioning at 92% implied probability on 13°C reflects this alignment with authoritative guidance, though minor downward revisions could occur if winds weaken further or if localized clearing allows temperatures to dip to 12°C or below before dawn. Updated model outputs and station readings near resolution will determine final verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$8,748Ngày kết thúc
Sep 20, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 18, 2026, 12:30 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from meteorological models, including GFS and ECMWF runs, indicate a minimum temperature of 13°C for Warsaw on September 20, 2026, driven by persistent rain, moderate southwesterly to westerly winds around 10-15 mph, and high cloud cover that limits radiative cooling overnight. Official observations and ensemble consensus place the overnight low near this threshold amid unsettled Atlantic-influenced conditions typical for late September in central Poland. Trader positioning at 92% implied probability on 13°C reflects this alignment with authoritative guidance, though minor downward revisions could occur if winds weaken further or if localized clearing allows temperatures to dip to 12°C or below before dawn. Updated model outputs and station readings near resolution will determine final verification.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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