Kelly Ayotte holds a commanding 98% implied probability in the New Hampshire Republican gubernatorial primary because she is the popular incumbent who won the 2024 general election by over nine points, maintains strong fundraising and approval ratings, and faces only minor declared opponents such as Shaun Fife and Bob Wayne McClory. Earlier speculation about a challenge from Corey Lewandowski, tied to disputes over redistricting, never materialized after he accepted other roles and the filing deadline passed without his candidacy. With the September 8, 2026 primary weeks away, traders view her renomination as a near-certainty absent a late-breaking scandal, health event, or surprise Trump-backed intervention that would require rapid shifts in voter sentiment in a low-turnout contest.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtNew Hampshire Governor Republican Primary Winner
New Hampshire Governor Republican Primary Winner
$12,233 KL.
$12,233 KL.
Sep 7, 2026
Kelly Ayotte
99%
Corey Lewandowski
2%
$12,233 KL.
$12,233 KL.
Sep 7, 2026
Kelly Ayotte
$7,796 KL.
99%
Corey Lewandowski
$4,437 KL.
2%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of New Hampshire, scheduled to take place on September 8, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.
If no 2026 New Hampshire Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New Hampshire Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Kelly Ayotte holds a commanding 98% implied probability in the New Hampshire Republican gubernatorial primary because she is the popular incumbent who won the 2024 general election by over nine points, maintains strong fundraising and approval ratings, and faces only minor declared opponents such as Shaun Fife and Bob Wayne McClory. Earlier speculation about a challenge from Corey Lewandowski, tied to disputes over redistricting, never materialized after he accepted other roles and the filing deadline passed without his candidacy. With the September 8, 2026 primary weeks away, traders view her renomination as a near-certainty absent a late-breaking scandal, health event, or surprise Trump-backed intervention that would require rapid shifts in voter sentiment in a low-turnout contest.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of New Hampshire, scheduled to take place on September 8, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.
If no 2026 New Hampshire Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New Hampshire Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If no 2026 New Hampshire Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New Hampshire Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Thị trường mở: Dec 4, 2025, 5:57 PM ET
Khối lượng
$12,233Ngày kết thúc
Sep 8, 2026Thị trường mở
Dec 4, 2025, 5:57 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of New Hampshire, scheduled to take place on September 8, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.
If no 2026 New Hampshire Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New Hampshire Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Kelly Ayotte holds a commanding 98% implied probability in the New Hampshire Republican gubernatorial primary because she is the popular incumbent who won the 2024 general election by over nine points, maintains strong fundraising and approval ratings, and faces only minor declared opponents such as Shaun Fife and Bob Wayne McClory. Earlier speculation about a challenge from Corey Lewandowski, tied to disputes over redistricting, never materialized after he accepted other roles and the filing deadline passed without his candidacy. With the September 8, 2026 primary weeks away, traders view her renomination as a near-certainty absent a late-breaking scandal, health event, or surprise Trump-backed intervention that would require rapid shifts in voter sentiment in a low-turnout contest.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of New Hampshire, scheduled to take place on September 8, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.
If no 2026 New Hampshire Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New Hampshire Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If no 2026 New Hampshire Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New Hampshire Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Khối lượng
$12,233Ngày kết thúc
Sep 8, 2026Thị trường mở
Dec 4, 2025, 5:57 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Kelly Ayotte holds a commanding 98% implied probability in the New Hampshire Republican gubernatorial primary because she is the popular incumbent who won the 2024 general election by over nine points, maintains strong fundraising and approval ratings, and faces only minor declared opponents such as Shaun Fife and Bob Wayne McClory. Earlier speculation about a challenge from Corey Lewandowski, tied to disputes over redistricting, never materialized after he accepted other roles and the filing deadline passed without his candidacy. With the September 8, 2026 primary weeks away, traders view her renomination as a near-certainty absent a late-breaking scandal, health event, or surprise Trump-backed intervention that would require rapid shifts in voter sentiment in a low-turnout contest.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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