Recent polling averages place Donald Trump’s job approval between 35% and 39.6% as of early September 2026, with net ratings near -17 to -20. Economic sentiment, particularly on cost of living, inflation, and tariffs, remains the dominant drag, as multiple surveys show majorities viewing the economy as off track and personal finances worsening. Ongoing foreign policy pressures tied to the Iran conflict and related energy costs have further weighed on numbers. The tight distribution of market probabilities around the 37–39 range mirrors this polling cluster and normal survey variance across adult, registered voter, and likely voter samples. A stronger-than-expected jobs report, tariff policy shift, or de-escalation signal in the Middle East could push readings higher, while sustained economic pessimism or midterm-related scrutiny could anchor them lower.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật38.0–38.4 31%
37.5–37.9 29%
38.5–38.9 28%
<37.0 26%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 18, 2026
<37.0
26%
37.0–37.4
26%
37.5–37.9
29%
38.0–38.4
31%
38.5–38.9
28%
39.0+
26%
38.0–38.4 31%
37.5–37.9 29%
38.5–38.9 28%
<37.0 26%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 18, 2026
<37.0
$0 KL.
26%
37.0–37.4
$0 KL.
26%
37.5–37.9
$0 KL.
29%
38.0–38.4
$0 KL.
31%
38.5–38.9
$0 KL.
28%
39.0+
$0 KL.
26%
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on September 18, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent polling averages place Donald Trump’s job approval between 35% and 39.6% as of early September 2026, with net ratings near -17 to -20. Economic sentiment, particularly on cost of living, inflation, and tariffs, remains the dominant drag, as multiple surveys show majorities viewing the economy as off track and personal finances worsening. Ongoing foreign policy pressures tied to the Iran conflict and related energy costs have further weighed on numbers. The tight distribution of market probabilities around the 37–39 range mirrors this polling cluster and normal survey variance across adult, registered voter, and likely voter samples. A stronger-than-expected jobs report, tariff policy shift, or de-escalation signal in the Middle East could push readings higher, while sustained economic pessimism or midterm-related scrutiny could anchor them lower.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on September 18, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Thị trường mở: Sep 11, 2026, 5:48 PM ET
Khối lượng
$0Ngày kết thúc
Sep 18, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 11, 2026, 5:48 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on September 18, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent polling averages place Donald Trump’s job approval between 35% and 39.6% as of early September 2026, with net ratings near -17 to -20. Economic sentiment, particularly on cost of living, inflation, and tariffs, remains the dominant drag, as multiple surveys show majorities viewing the economy as off track and personal finances worsening. Ongoing foreign policy pressures tied to the Iran conflict and related energy costs have further weighed on numbers. The tight distribution of market probabilities around the 37–39 range mirrors this polling cluster and normal survey variance across adult, registered voter, and likely voter samples. A stronger-than-expected jobs report, tariff policy shift, or de-escalation signal in the Middle East could push readings higher, while sustained economic pessimism or midterm-related scrutiny could anchor them lower.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on September 18, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Khối lượng
$0Ngày kết thúc
Sep 18, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 11, 2026, 5:48 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling averages place Donald Trump’s job approval between 35% and 39.6% as of early September 2026, with net ratings near -17 to -20. Economic sentiment, particularly on cost of living, inflation, and tariffs, remains the dominant drag, as multiple surveys show majorities viewing the economy as off track and personal finances worsening. Ongoing foreign policy pressures tied to the Iran conflict and related energy costs have further weighed on numbers. The tight distribution of market probabilities around the 37–39 range mirrors this polling cluster and normal survey variance across adult, registered voter, and likely voter samples. A stronger-than-expected jobs report, tariff policy shift, or de-escalation signal in the Middle East could push readings higher, while sustained economic pessimism or midterm-related scrutiny could anchor them lower.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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