Recent polling aggregates, including those from Silver Bulletin, RealClearPolitics, and the New York Times, have held President Trump's job approval in the high 37% to low 39% range through early September 2026. Trader positioning centers on the 38.0–38.4 band because these figures match the most recent multi-poll averages amid ongoing economic pressures, including inflation and cost-of-living concerns tied to the Iran conflict. Individual surveys have shown modest variation, with some registering lower readings, yet broader composites have remained stable. The outcome could shift only if final Silver Bulletin inputs incorporate unreleased late data or model adjustments that move the precise average outside the narrow interval.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật38.0–38.4 99.5%
38.5–38.9 1.0%
39.0–39.4 1.0%
<37.5 <1%
$10,683 KL.
$10,683 KL.
<37.5
No
37.5–37.9
No
38.0–38.4
Yes
38.5–38.9
No
39.0–39.4
No
39.5+
No
38.0–38.4 99.5%
38.5–38.9 1.0%
39.0–39.4 1.0%
<37.5 <1%
$10,683 KL.
$10,683 KL.
<37.5
No
37.5–37.9
No
38.0–38.4
Yes
38.5–38.9
No
39.0–39.4
No
39.5+
No
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Thị trường mở: Sep 7, 2026, 12:03 PM ET
Người giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Người giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
Recent polling aggregates, including those from Silver Bulletin, RealClearPolitics, and the New York Times, have held President Trump's job approval in the high 37% to low 39% range through early September 2026. Trader positioning centers on the 38.0–38.4 band because these figures match the most recent multi-poll averages amid ongoing economic pressures, including inflation and cost-of-living concerns tied to the Iran conflict. Individual surveys have shown modest variation, with some registering lower readings, yet broader composites have remained stable. The outcome could shift only if final Silver Bulletin inputs incorporate unreleased late data or model adjustments that move the precise average outside the narrow interval.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật



Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp