Trader consensus reflects the absence of any congressional bills, executive actions, or official proposals to authorize a US military draft in 2026, maintaining the all-volunteer force in place since 1973. Recent attention stems from the FY2026 National Defense Authorization Act, signed in December 2025, which mandates automatic Selective Service registration for men aged 18-26 starting December 2026 via federal databases—a streamlining measure amid recruitment challenges, not draft activation. Actual conscription requires separate legislation and a presidential proclamation during a national emergency, with no such developments amid ongoing geopolitical tensions. Late-breaking escalations in conflicts like those involving Iran or Taiwan could shift odds, but current political realities favor the status quo.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật$179,532 KL.
$179,532 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
$179,532 KL.
$179,532 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any legislation is passed by both houses of the United States Congress and signed into law by the president, or otherwise enacted, which authorizes the induction of personnel into the United States Armed Forces through activation of the United States Selective Service System, or otherwise establishes a military draft, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Legislation that only modifies Selective Service registration requirements or administrative procedures without authorizing induction/conscription into the armed forces will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus reflects the absence of any congressional bills, executive actions, or official proposals to authorize a US military draft in 2026, maintaining the all-volunteer force in place since 1973. Recent attention stems from the FY2026 National Defense Authorization Act, signed in December 2025, which mandates automatic Selective Service registration for men aged 18-26 starting December 2026 via federal databases—a streamlining measure amid recruitment challenges, not draft activation. Actual conscription requires separate legislation and a presidential proclamation during a national emergency, with no such developments amid ongoing geopolitical tensions. Late-breaking escalations in conflicts like those involving Iran or Taiwan could shift odds, but current political realities favor the status quo.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any legislation is passed by both houses of the United States Congress and signed into law by the president, or otherwise enacted, which authorizes the induction of personnel into the United States Armed Forces through activation of the United States Selective Service System, or otherwise establishes a military draft, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Legislation that only modifies Selective Service registration requirements or administrative procedures without authorizing induction/conscription into the armed forces will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Legislation that only modifies Selective Service registration requirements or administrative procedures without authorizing induction/conscription into the armed forces will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Thị trường mở: Mar 13, 2026, 1:23 PM ET
Khối lượng
$179,532Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Mar 13, 2026, 1:23 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if any legislation is passed by both houses of the United States Congress and signed into law by the president, or otherwise enacted, which authorizes the induction of personnel into the United States Armed Forces through activation of the United States Selective Service System, or otherwise establishes a military draft, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Legislation that only modifies Selective Service registration requirements or administrative procedures without authorizing induction/conscription into the armed forces will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus reflects the absence of any congressional bills, executive actions, or official proposals to authorize a US military draft in 2026, maintaining the all-volunteer force in place since 1973. Recent attention stems from the FY2026 National Defense Authorization Act, signed in December 2025, which mandates automatic Selective Service registration for men aged 18-26 starting December 2026 via federal databases—a streamlining measure amid recruitment challenges, not draft activation. Actual conscription requires separate legislation and a presidential proclamation during a national emergency, with no such developments amid ongoing geopolitical tensions. Late-breaking escalations in conflicts like those involving Iran or Taiwan could shift odds, but current political realities favor the status quo.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any legislation is passed by both houses of the United States Congress and signed into law by the president, or otherwise enacted, which authorizes the induction of personnel into the United States Armed Forces through activation of the United States Selective Service System, or otherwise establishes a military draft, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Legislation that only modifies Selective Service registration requirements or administrative procedures without authorizing induction/conscription into the armed forces will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Legislation that only modifies Selective Service registration requirements or administrative procedures without authorizing induction/conscription into the armed forces will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Khối lượng
$179,532Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Mar 13, 2026, 1:23 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus reflects the absence of any congressional bills, executive actions, or official proposals to authorize a US military draft in 2026, maintaining the all-volunteer force in place since 1973. Recent attention stems from the FY2026 National Defense Authorization Act, signed in December 2025, which mandates automatic Selective Service registration for men aged 18-26 starting December 2026 via federal databases—a streamlining measure amid recruitment challenges, not draft activation. Actual conscription requires separate legislation and a presidential proclamation during a national emergency, with no such developments amid ongoing geopolitical tensions. Late-breaking escalations in conflicts like those involving Iran or Taiwan could shift odds, but current political realities favor the status quo.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp