The U.S. has adhered to a voluntary nuclear test moratorium since 1992, certifying its stockpile through non-explosive stewardship at the Nevada National Security Site rather than underground explosive tests. President Trump's October 2025 directive to resume testing on par with Russia and China led to ongoing State Department assessments, with a top official in March 2026 declining to rule out full-scale detonations. Trader sentiment reflects uncertainty amid Sen. Jacky Rosen's April 13 opposition tour of NNSS and recent safety concerns over extensive faults beneath the site, potentially delaying infrastructure readiness that experts say requires 36 months. Congressional debates on funding could prove decisive before any year-end resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtThử nghiệm hạt nhân của Hoa Kỳ bởi...?
Thử nghiệm hạt nhân của Hoa Kỳ bởi...?
$639,432 KL.
Jun 30, 2026
30 tháng 6, 2026
1%
30 tháng 9, 2026
8%
31 tháng 12, 2026
13%
$639,432 KL.
30 tháng 6, 2026
$23,204 KL.
1%
30 tháng 9, 2026
$2,149 KL.
8%
31 tháng 12, 2026
$3,860 KL.
13%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US conducts a nuclear test by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A nuclear test is defined as the intentional non-combat detonation of a device by the US that produces a nuclear chain reaction (fission or fusion), regardless of yield.
Accidents, radiological dispersal devices (bombs that spread radioactive material using conventional explosives such as "dirty bombs"), or actions by third parties will not count toward this market's resolution.
Tests not explicitly claimed by US may still qualify if a clear consensus of credible reporting attributes the nuclear detonation to US. For example, an unclaimed nuclear test analogous to the 1979 "Vela Incident" would count if credible reporting attributes it to the US.
The resolution source for this market will be a broad consensus of credible reporting.The U.S. has adhered to a voluntary nuclear test moratorium since 1992, certifying its stockpile through non-explosive stewardship at the Nevada National Security Site rather than underground explosive tests. President Trump's October 2025 directive to resume testing on par with Russia and China led to ongoing State Department assessments, with a top official in March 2026 declining to rule out full-scale detonations. Trader sentiment reflects uncertainty amid Sen. Jacky Rosen's April 13 opposition tour of NNSS and recent safety concerns over extensive faults beneath the site, potentially delaying infrastructure readiness that experts say requires 36 months. Congressional debates on funding could prove decisive before any year-end resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US conducts a nuclear test by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A nuclear test is defined as the intentional non-combat detonation of a device by the US that produces a nuclear chain reaction (fission or fusion), regardless of yield.
Accidents, radiological dispersal devices (bombs that spread radioactive material using conventional explosives such as "dirty bombs"), or actions by third parties will not count toward this market's resolution.
Tests not explicitly claimed by US may still qualify if a clear consensus of credible reporting attributes the nuclear detonation to US. For example, an unclaimed nuclear test analogous to the 1979 "Vela Incident" would count if credible reporting attributes it to the US.
The resolution source for this market will be a broad consensus of credible reporting.
A nuclear test is defined as the intentional non-combat detonation of a device by the US that produces a nuclear chain reaction (fission or fusion), regardless of yield.
Accidents, radiological dispersal devices (bombs that spread radioactive material using conventional explosives such as "dirty bombs"), or actions by third parties will not count toward this market's resolution.
Tests not explicitly claimed by US may still qualify if a clear consensus of credible reporting attributes the nuclear detonation to US. For example, an unclaimed nuclear test analogous to the 1979 "Vela Incident" would count if credible reporting attributes it to the US.
The resolution source for this market will be a broad consensus of credible reporting.
Thị trường mở: Mar 31, 2026, 3:32 PM ET
Khối lượng
$639,432Ngày kết thúc
Mar 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Mar 31, 2026, 3:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US conducts a nuclear test by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A nuclear test is defined as the intentional non-combat detonation of a device by the US that produces a nuclear chain reaction (fission or fusion), regardless of yield.
Accidents, radiological dispersal devices (bombs that spread radioactive material using conventional explosives such as "dirty bombs"), or actions by third parties will not count toward this market's resolution.
Tests not explicitly claimed by US may still qualify if a clear consensus of credible reporting attributes the nuclear detonation to US. For example, an unclaimed nuclear test analogous to the 1979 "Vela Incident" would count if credible reporting attributes it to the US.
The resolution source for this market will be a broad consensus of credible reporting.The U.S. has adhered to a voluntary nuclear test moratorium since 1992, certifying its stockpile through non-explosive stewardship at the Nevada National Security Site rather than underground explosive tests. President Trump's October 2025 directive to resume testing on par with Russia and China led to ongoing State Department assessments, with a top official in March 2026 declining to rule out full-scale detonations. Trader sentiment reflects uncertainty amid Sen. Jacky Rosen's April 13 opposition tour of NNSS and recent safety concerns over extensive faults beneath the site, potentially delaying infrastructure readiness that experts say requires 36 months. Congressional debates on funding could prove decisive before any year-end resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US conducts a nuclear test by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A nuclear test is defined as the intentional non-combat detonation of a device by the US that produces a nuclear chain reaction (fission or fusion), regardless of yield.
Accidents, radiological dispersal devices (bombs that spread radioactive material using conventional explosives such as "dirty bombs"), or actions by third parties will not count toward this market's resolution.
Tests not explicitly claimed by US may still qualify if a clear consensus of credible reporting attributes the nuclear detonation to US. For example, an unclaimed nuclear test analogous to the 1979 "Vela Incident" would count if credible reporting attributes it to the US.
The resolution source for this market will be a broad consensus of credible reporting.
A nuclear test is defined as the intentional non-combat detonation of a device by the US that produces a nuclear chain reaction (fission or fusion), regardless of yield.
Accidents, radiological dispersal devices (bombs that spread radioactive material using conventional explosives such as "dirty bombs"), or actions by third parties will not count toward this market's resolution.
Tests not explicitly claimed by US may still qualify if a clear consensus of credible reporting attributes the nuclear detonation to US. For example, an unclaimed nuclear test analogous to the 1979 "Vela Incident" would count if credible reporting attributes it to the US.
The resolution source for this market will be a broad consensus of credible reporting.
Khối lượng
$639,432Ngày kết thúc
Mar 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Mar 31, 2026, 3:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The U.S. has adhered to a voluntary nuclear test moratorium since 1992, certifying its stockpile through non-explosive stewardship at the Nevada National Security Site rather than underground explosive tests. President Trump's October 2025 directive to resume testing on par with Russia and China led to ongoing State Department assessments, with a top official in March 2026 declining to rule out full-scale detonations. Trader sentiment reflects uncertainty amid Sen. Jacky Rosen's April 13 opposition tour of NNSS and recent safety concerns over extensive faults beneath the site, potentially delaying infrastructure readiness that experts say requires 36 months. Congressional debates on funding could prove decisive before any year-end resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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