OpenAI’s explicit decision to defer any IPO until 2027, driven by AI safety and alignment priorities, underpins the 96% market-implied odds favoring Anthropic listing first. CEO Sam Altman cited the need to address safety risks before going public, contrasting with Anthropic’s continued progress on its confidential S-1 filing from June 2026 and targeted November listing window. Strong revenue growth to over $100 billion annualized run rate supports Anthropic’s preparations, while OpenAI focuses on private operations amid competitive AI model development. Realistic shifts could still arise from market volatility delaying Anthropic’s roadshow or regulatory reviews, or an unexpected reversal if OpenAI accelerates its timeline once safety milestones are met.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtWill Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
Anthropic
96% khả năng
$383,682 KL.
$383,682 KL.
Dec 31, 2027
Anthropic
96% khả năng
$383,682 KL.
$383,682 KL.
Dec 31, 2027
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.OpenAI’s explicit decision to defer any IPO until 2027, driven by AI safety and alignment priorities, underpins the 96% market-implied odds favoring Anthropic listing first. CEO Sam Altman cited the need to address safety risks before going public, contrasting with Anthropic’s continued progress on its confidential S-1 filing from June 2026 and targeted November listing window. Strong revenue growth to over $100 billion annualized run rate supports Anthropic’s preparations, while OpenAI focuses on private operations amid competitive AI model development. Realistic shifts could still arise from market volatility delaying Anthropic’s roadshow or regulatory reviews, or an unexpected reversal if OpenAI accelerates its timeline once safety milestones are met.
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Thị trường mở: Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ET
Khối lượng
$383,682Ngày kết thúc
Jan 1, 2028Thị trường mở
Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.OpenAI’s explicit decision to defer any IPO until 2027, driven by AI safety and alignment priorities, underpins the 96% market-implied odds favoring Anthropic listing first. CEO Sam Altman cited the need to address safety risks before going public, contrasting with Anthropic’s continued progress on its confidential S-1 filing from June 2026 and targeted November listing window. Strong revenue growth to over $100 billion annualized run rate supports Anthropic’s preparations, while OpenAI focuses on private operations amid competitive AI model development. Realistic shifts could still arise from market volatility delaying Anthropic’s roadshow or regulatory reviews, or an unexpected reversal if OpenAI accelerates its timeline once safety milestones are met.
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Khối lượng
$383,682Ngày kết thúc
Jan 1, 2028Thị trường mở
Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x65070BE91...OpenAI’s explicit decision to defer any IPO until 2027, driven by AI safety and alignment priorities, underpins the 96% market-implied odds favoring Anthropic listing first. CEO Sam Altman cited the need to address safety risks before going public, contrasting with Anthropic’s continued progress on its confidential S-1 filing from June 2026 and targeted November listing window. Strong revenue growth to over $100 billion annualized run rate supports Anthropic’s preparations, while OpenAI focuses on private operations amid competitive AI model development. Realistic shifts could still arise from market volatility delaying Anthropic’s roadshow or regulatory reviews, or an unexpected reversal if OpenAI accelerates its timeline once safety milestones are met.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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