Anthropic’s earlier confidential S-1 filing on June 1, 2026, followed by active preparations for a November listing, anchors the 94.6% market-implied probability that it will reach public markets ahead of OpenAI. Recent reports confirm Anthropic’s revenue run-rate has more than doubled in recent quarters amid strong enterprise adoption of its Claude large language model, supporting a potential $2 trillion valuation. In contrast, OpenAI’s June 8 filing has shifted explicitly to 2027, with CEO Sam Altman citing an “ill-advised” 2026 window and the company prioritizing internal initiatives amid heavy cash burn. Trader consensus reflects this sequencing and OpenAI’s public statements, though realistic challenges include further regulatory or market-driven delays for Anthropic or an unexpected acceleration by OpenAI.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtWill Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
Anthropic
95% khả năng
$384,627 KL.
$384,627 KL.
Dec 31, 2027
Anthropic
95% khả năng
$384,627 KL.
$384,627 KL.
Dec 31, 2027
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic’s earlier confidential S-1 filing on June 1, 2026, followed by active preparations for a November listing, anchors the 94.6% market-implied probability that it will reach public markets ahead of OpenAI. Recent reports confirm Anthropic’s revenue run-rate has more than doubled in recent quarters amid strong enterprise adoption of its Claude large language model, supporting a potential $2 trillion valuation. In contrast, OpenAI’s June 8 filing has shifted explicitly to 2027, with CEO Sam Altman citing an “ill-advised” 2026 window and the company prioritizing internal initiatives amid heavy cash burn. Trader consensus reflects this sequencing and OpenAI’s public statements, though realistic challenges include further regulatory or market-driven delays for Anthropic or an unexpected acceleration by OpenAI.
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Thị trường mở: Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ET
Khối lượng
$384,627Ngày kết thúc
Jan 1, 2028Thị trường mở
Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic’s earlier confidential S-1 filing on June 1, 2026, followed by active preparations for a November listing, anchors the 94.6% market-implied probability that it will reach public markets ahead of OpenAI. Recent reports confirm Anthropic’s revenue run-rate has more than doubled in recent quarters amid strong enterprise adoption of its Claude large language model, supporting a potential $2 trillion valuation. In contrast, OpenAI’s June 8 filing has shifted explicitly to 2027, with CEO Sam Altman citing an “ill-advised” 2026 window and the company prioritizing internal initiatives amid heavy cash burn. Trader consensus reflects this sequencing and OpenAI’s public statements, though realistic challenges include further regulatory or market-driven delays for Anthropic or an unexpected acceleration by OpenAI.
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Khối lượng
$384,627Ngày kết thúc
Jan 1, 2028Thị trường mở
Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x65070BE91...Anthropic’s earlier confidential S-1 filing on June 1, 2026, followed by active preparations for a November listing, anchors the 94.6% market-implied probability that it will reach public markets ahead of OpenAI. Recent reports confirm Anthropic’s revenue run-rate has more than doubled in recent quarters amid strong enterprise adoption of its Claude large language model, supporting a potential $2 trillion valuation. In contrast, OpenAI’s June 8 filing has shifted explicitly to 2027, with CEO Sam Altman citing an “ill-advised” 2026 window and the company prioritizing internal initiatives amid heavy cash burn. Trader consensus reflects this sequencing and OpenAI’s public statements, though realistic challenges include further regulatory or market-driven delays for Anthropic or an unexpected acceleration by OpenAI.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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