Polymarket traders assign a 39% implied probability to a Bank of Korea base rate increase at its July 2026 meeting—the current leader—driven by March CPI inflation rising to 2.2% year-over-year, a three-month high despite undershooting 2.4% forecasts, alongside steady core inflation at 2.2%. The central bank's unanimous April 10 decision to hold the benchmark at 2.50% for a seventh consecutive meeting cited data-dependent outlook amid persistent price pressures and Mideast tensions risking higher oil costs, tempering no-change odds at 26.5% while cuts languish at 8.5% amid upgraded 2026 GDP growth projections. Key catalysts include upcoming April CPI data and the May 28 policy review, which could refine monetary policy expectations versus official neutral guidance.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Increase 44%
No Change 36%
Decrease 17%
$10,010 交易量
$10,010 交易量
Decrease
13%
No Change
27%
Increase
38%
Increase 44%
No Change 36%
Decrease 17%
$10,010 交易量
$10,010 交易量
Decrease
13%
No Change
27%
Increase
38%
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Korea after its July 16, 2026 policy-setting meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Korea meeting schedule: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Korea's policy statement for their July 16, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the base rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
市場開放時間: Apr 13, 2026, 6:17 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Korea after its July 16, 2026 policy-setting meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Korea meeting schedule: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Korea's policy statement for their July 16, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the base rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Polymarket traders assign a 39% implied probability to a Bank of Korea base rate increase at its July 2026 meeting—the current leader—driven by March CPI inflation rising to 2.2% year-over-year, a three-month high despite undershooting 2.4% forecasts, alongside steady core inflation at 2.2%. The central bank's unanimous April 10 decision to hold the benchmark at 2.50% for a seventh consecutive meeting cited data-dependent outlook amid persistent price pressures and Mideast tensions risking higher oil costs, tempering no-change odds at 26.5% while cuts languish at 8.5% amid upgraded 2026 GDP growth projections. Key catalysts include upcoming April CPI data and the May 28 policy review, which could refine monetary policy expectations versus official neutral guidance.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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警惕外部連結哦。
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