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icon for Lee Jae-myung在2027年之前被彈劾?

Lee Jae-myung在2027年之前被彈劾?

icon for Lee Jae-myung在2027年之前被彈劾?

Lee Jae-myung在2027年之前被彈劾?

6% 機率
Polymarket

$21,783 交易量

6% 機率
Polymarket

$21,783 交易量

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of South Korea, Lee Jae-myung, is formally impeached by the South Korean National Assembly by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.South Korea’s National Assembly requires a two-thirds majority of 200 votes to pass any impeachment motion against President Lee Jae-myung. His Democratic Party holds 161 seats compared with 110 for the main opposition People Power Party, creating a structural barrier that has blocked advancement of a June 2026 citizen petition despite it collecting over 100,000 signatures. Lee’s suspended criminal cases, including election-law and development-related charges, have not generated new legislative pressure since his June 2025 inauguration. Recent approval ratings in the mid-to-high 30s reflect concerns over housing costs and local-election ballot issues, yet these have produced no cross-party defections or scheduled votes capable of reaching the required threshold before the end of 2026.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of South Korea, Lee Jae-myung, is formally impeached by the South Korean National Assembly by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.

The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of South Korea, Lee Jae-myung, is formally impeached by the South Korean National Assembly by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
交易量
$21,783
結束日期
2027-01-01
市場開放時間
Nov 5, 2025, 2:32 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of South Korea, Lee Jae-myung, is formally impeached by the South Korean National Assembly by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.South Korea’s National Assembly requires a two-thirds majority of 200 votes to pass any impeachment motion against President Lee Jae-myung. His Democratic Party holds 161 seats compared with 110 for the main opposition People Power Party, creating a structural barrier that has blocked advancement of a June 2026 citizen petition despite it collecting over 100,000 signatures. Lee’s suspended criminal cases, including election-law and development-related charges, have not generated new legislative pressure since his June 2025 inauguration. Recent approval ratings in the mid-to-high 30s reflect concerns over housing costs and local-election ballot issues, yet these have produced no cross-party defections or scheduled votes capable of reaching the required threshold before the end of 2026.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of South Korea, Lee Jae-myung, is formally impeached by the South Korean National Assembly by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.

The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of South Korea, Lee Jae-myung, is formally impeached by the South Korean National Assembly by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
交易量
$21,783
結束日期
2027-01-01
市場開放時間
Nov 5, 2025, 2:32 PM ET

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"Lee Jae-myung在2027年之前被彈劾?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "李在明會在2027年前被彈劾嗎?" at 6%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 6¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 6% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Lee Jae-myung在2027年之前被彈劾?" has generated $21.8K in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 5, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Lee Jae-myung在2027年之前被彈劾?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

This is a wide-open market. The current leader for "Lee Jae-myung在2027年之前被彈劾?" is "李在明會在2027年前被彈劾嗎?" at just 6%. With no outcome commanding a strong majority, traders see this as highly uncertain, which can present unique trading opportunities. These odds update in real-time, so bookmark this page to watch how the probabilities evolve.

The resolution rules for "Lee Jae-myung在2027年之前被彈劾?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.