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預測與賠率

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Houthis successfully target shipping by...?

Houthis successfully target shipping by...?

1%

April 30

$195K 交易量

$5.7K Liq.

3

Ends 大約 13 小時內

How many ships will Iran successfully target by April 30?

How many ships will Iran successfully target by April 30?

93%

8–9

$248K 交易量

$28.0K Liq.

Ends 大約 13 小時內

US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by...?

US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by...?

1%

April 30

$4M 交易量

$51.9K Liq.

174

Ends 29 天前

2k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in H1 2026?

2k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in H1 2026?

2%

$137K 交易量

$2.0K Liq.

6

Ends 2 個月內

1k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in Q1 2026?

1k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in Q1 2026?

1%

$57.5K 交易量

$1.0K Liq.

4

Ends 29 天前

China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?

China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?

11%

$2M 交易量

$45.6K Liq.

Ends 8 個月內

US x China Military clash before 2027?

US x China Military clash before 2027?

7%

$89.2K 交易量

$23.6K Liq.

9

Ends 8 個月內

China x Philippines military clash before 2027?

China x Philippines military clash before 2027?

16%

$279K 交易量

$31.8K Liq.

Ends 8 個月內

Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?

Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?

19%

$172K 交易量

$19.3K Liq.

Ends 8 個月內

Will NATO countries clash with each other before 2027?

Will NATO countries clash with each other before 2027?

8%

$12.4K 交易量

$27.9K Liq.

4

Ends 8 個月內

China x Japan military clash before 2027?

China x Japan military clash before 2027?

14%

$631K 交易量

$42.2K Liq.

32

Ends 8 個月內

North Korea missile test/launch by April 30, 2026?

North Korea missile test/launch by April 30, 2026?

12%

$6.3K 交易量

$751 Liq.

Ends 大約 13 小時內

Number of North Korea Missile Tests in May 2026?

Number of North Korea Missile Tests in May 2026?

53%

<2

$262 交易量

$50.3K Liq.

Ends 大約 1 個月內

Greece x Turkey military engagement by June 30?

Greece x Turkey military engagement by June 30?

6%

$487K 交易量

$16.1K Liq.

10

Ends 2 個月內

US x Cuba military clash in 2026?

US x Cuba military clash in 2026?

44%

$94.3K 交易量

$33.4K Liq.

3

Ends 8 個月內

US x Denmark Military clash before 2027?

US x Denmark Military clash before 2027?

7%

$33.1K 交易量

$17.2K Liq.

2

Ends 8 個月內

Jones Act domestic shipping requirements removed by June 30?

Jones Act domestic shipping requirements removed by June 30?

6%

$51.0K 交易量

$7.1K Liq.

3

Ends 2 個月內

Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by end of April?

Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by end of April?

2%

40+

$1M 交易量

$23.4K Liq.

Ends 大約 13 小時內

How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of Apr 27?

How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of Apr 27?

47%

25-49

$4.0K 交易量

$93.4K Liq.

Ends 4 天內

Ferrari Shipments above __ in Q1?

Ferrari Shipments above __ in Q1?

51%

3,500

$2 交易量

$27 Liq.

Ends 6 天內

Frequently Asked Questions

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Polymarket currently hosts 137 active markets for 船 that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Houthis successfully target shipping by...?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $9.8M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “China x Japan military clash before 2027?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 1% chance to April 30. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on 船 predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.