President Trump's administration has advanced expansionist rhetoric targeting Greenland, potential Canadian integration, the Strait of Hormuz, and other areas, framed around national security and hemispheric influence, yet no formal annexation has occurred through purchase, treaty, or legislation by late August 2026. Denmark and Greenland have rejected any transfer of sovereignty, while domestic polling shows overwhelming opposition to military options and constitutional requirements for Senate ratification plus international legal norms create high procedural barriers. Diplomatic discussions, including framework talks with NATO allies, have produced no completed transfers, and ongoing conflicts such as the Iran campaign have yielded only statements rather than territorial incorporation. Traders assign a 93.4% probability to "No" because these structural and political constraints outweigh proposals absent enacted outcomes before the December 31 resolution deadline.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於是
7% 機率
$154,754 交易量
$154,754 交易量
2026-12-30
是
7% 機率
$154,754 交易量
$154,754 交易量
2026-12-30
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially annexes any territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the US government claiming sovereignty over territory they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the Louisiana Purchase, however instances where settlers claim administrative control over land without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Trump's administration has advanced expansionist rhetoric targeting Greenland, potential Canadian integration, the Strait of Hormuz, and other areas, framed around national security and hemispheric influence, yet no formal annexation has occurred through purchase, treaty, or legislation by late August 2026. Denmark and Greenland have rejected any transfer of sovereignty, while domestic polling shows overwhelming opposition to military options and constitutional requirements for Senate ratification plus international legal norms create high procedural barriers. Diplomatic discussions, including framework talks with NATO allies, have produced no completed transfers, and ongoing conflicts such as the Iran campaign have yielded only statements rather than territorial incorporation. Traders assign a 93.4% probability to "No" because these structural and political constraints outweigh proposals absent enacted outcomes before the December 31 resolution deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially annexes any territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the US government claiming sovereignty over territory they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the Louisiana Purchase, however instances where settlers claim administrative control over land without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the US government claiming sovereignty over territory they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the Louisiana Purchase, however instances where settlers claim administrative control over land without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間： Jan 6, 2026, 1:41 PM ET
交易量
$154,754結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Jan 6, 2026, 1:41 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially annexes any territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the US government claiming sovereignty over territory they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the Louisiana Purchase, however instances where settlers claim administrative control over land without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Trump's administration has advanced expansionist rhetoric targeting Greenland, potential Canadian integration, the Strait of Hormuz, and other areas, framed around national security and hemispheric influence, yet no formal annexation has occurred through purchase, treaty, or legislation by late August 2026. Denmark and Greenland have rejected any transfer of sovereignty, while domestic polling shows overwhelming opposition to military options and constitutional requirements for Senate ratification plus international legal norms create high procedural barriers. Diplomatic discussions, including framework talks with NATO allies, have produced no completed transfers, and ongoing conflicts such as the Iran campaign have yielded only statements rather than territorial incorporation. Traders assign a 93.4% probability to "No" because these structural and political constraints outweigh proposals absent enacted outcomes before the December 31 resolution deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially annexes any territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the US government claiming sovereignty over territory they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the Louisiana Purchase, however instances where settlers claim administrative control over land without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the US government claiming sovereignty over territory they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the Louisiana Purchase, however instances where settlers claim administrative control over land without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$154,754結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Jan 6, 2026, 1:41 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Trump's administration has advanced expansionist rhetoric targeting Greenland, potential Canadian integration, the Strait of Hormuz, and other areas, framed around national security and hemispheric influence, yet no formal annexation has occurred through purchase, treaty, or legislation by late August 2026. Denmark and Greenland have rejected any transfer of sovereignty, while domestic polling shows overwhelming opposition to military options and constitutional requirements for Senate ratification plus international legal norms create high procedural barriers. Diplomatic discussions, including framework talks with NATO allies, have produced no completed transfers, and ongoing conflicts such as the Iran campaign have yielded only statements rather than territorial incorporation. Traders assign a 93.4% probability to "No" because these structural and political constraints outweigh proposals absent enacted outcomes before the December 31 resolution deadline.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions