The Trump administration’s maximum pressure campaign, including the January 2026 national emergency declaration and subsequent executive orders expanding sanctions on Cuban entities and secondary actors, remains the dominant driver of trader sentiment on any US-Cuba economic deal. Recent designations of additional regime-linked firms, a fuel blockade contributing to shortages and blackouts, and repeated calls for Cuba to “make a deal” have intensified economic strain while signaling openness to relief tied to reforms in ports, energy, tourism, or private-sector openings. Cuba’s Communist Party approved limited market measures in June amid the crisis, and earlier reports indicated preliminary talks, yet no agreement has materialized. Any breakthrough would likely require verifiable Cuban concessions on human rights, security issues, or economic liberalization before sanctions easing could advance through executive action.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$430,441 交易量
December 31
15%
$430,441 交易量
December 31
15%
A qualifying agreement may include, but is not limited to, US sanctions relief for Cuba or other easing of U.S. restrictions on Cuban imports, exports, shipping, payments, energy trade, or other trade-related activity.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Cuba as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
Only deals which are officially announced by both parties or confirmed by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will qualify. Informal announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and Cuba, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
市場開放時間: Jun 11, 2026, 9:50 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...A qualifying agreement may include, but is not limited to, US sanctions relief for Cuba or other easing of U.S. restrictions on Cuban imports, exports, shipping, payments, energy trade, or other trade-related activity.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Cuba as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
Only deals which are officially announced by both parties or confirmed by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will qualify. Informal announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and Cuba, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The Trump administration’s maximum pressure campaign, including the January 2026 national emergency declaration and subsequent executive orders expanding sanctions on Cuban entities and secondary actors, remains the dominant driver of trader sentiment on any US-Cuba economic deal. Recent designations of additional regime-linked firms, a fuel blockade contributing to shortages and blackouts, and repeated calls for Cuba to “make a deal” have intensified economic strain while signaling openness to relief tied to reforms in ports, energy, tourism, or private-sector openings. Cuba’s Communist Party approved limited market measures in June amid the crisis, and earlier reports indicated preliminary talks, yet no agreement has materialized. Any breakthrough would likely require verifiable Cuban concessions on human rights, security issues, or economic liberalization before sanctions easing could advance through executive action.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於



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