The Trump administration's maximum-pressure approach has defined US-Cuba dynamics since early 2026. Following the capture of Venezuela's Maduro, an executive order imposed tariffs on third-country oil suppliers to Cuba and halted prior Venezuelan shipments, triggering severe fuel shortages, nationwide blackouts, and protests. President Trump has publicly urged Cuban leaders to "make a deal," with limited diplomatic contacts reported in February and March, including a May CIA-level meeting in Havana. These steps occur alongside reinstated sanctions, the May indictment of Raúl Castro, and reversal of prior Biden-era easing measures. No comprehensive trade agreement, embargo relief, or normalized economic framework has materialized amid the ongoing energy crisis and regime-change signals. Traders assessing timelines for any economic deal must weigh these enforcement actions against the absence of concrete breakthroughs or scheduled high-level summits.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$430,143 交易量
2026-07-31
July 31
<1%
December 31
15%
$430,143 交易量
July 31
$92,107 交易量
<1%
December 31
$18,569 交易量
15%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over trade, tariffs, sanctions, or the US embargo on Cuba, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Cuba by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying agreement may include, but is not limited to, US sanctions relief for Cuba or other easing of U.S. restrictions on Cuban imports, exports, shipping, payments, energy trade, or other trade-related activity.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Cuba as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
Only deals which are officially announced by both parties or confirmed by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will qualify. Informal announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and Cuba, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.The Trump administration's maximum-pressure approach has defined US-Cuba dynamics since early 2026. Following the capture of Venezuela's Maduro, an executive order imposed tariffs on third-country oil suppliers to Cuba and halted prior Venezuelan shipments, triggering severe fuel shortages, nationwide blackouts, and protests. President Trump has publicly urged Cuban leaders to "make a deal," with limited diplomatic contacts reported in February and March, including a May CIA-level meeting in Havana. These steps occur alongside reinstated sanctions, the May indictment of Raúl Castro, and reversal of prior Biden-era easing measures. No comprehensive trade agreement, embargo relief, or normalized economic framework has materialized amid the ongoing energy crisis and regime-change signals. Traders assessing timelines for any economic deal must weigh these enforcement actions against the absence of concrete breakthroughs or scheduled high-level summits.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over trade, tariffs, sanctions, or the US embargo on Cuba, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Cuba by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying agreement may include, but is not limited to, US sanctions relief for Cuba or other easing of U.S. restrictions on Cuban imports, exports, shipping, payments, energy trade, or other trade-related activity.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Cuba as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
Only deals which are officially announced by both parties or confirmed by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will qualify. Informal announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and Cuba, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
A qualifying agreement may include, but is not limited to, US sanctions relief for Cuba or other easing of U.S. restrictions on Cuban imports, exports, shipping, payments, energy trade, or other trade-related activity.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Cuba as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
Only deals which are officially announced by both parties or confirmed by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will qualify. Informal announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and Cuba, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
市場開放時間： Jun 11, 2026, 9:50 AM ET
交易量
$430,143結束日期
2026-06-30市場開放時間
Jun 11, 2026, 9:50 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over trade, tariffs, sanctions, or the US embargo on Cuba, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Cuba by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying agreement may include, but is not limited to, US sanctions relief for Cuba or other easing of U.S. restrictions on Cuban imports, exports, shipping, payments, energy trade, or other trade-related activity.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Cuba as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
Only deals which are officially announced by both parties or confirmed by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will qualify. Informal announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and Cuba, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.The Trump administration's maximum-pressure approach has defined US-Cuba dynamics since early 2026. Following the capture of Venezuela's Maduro, an executive order imposed tariffs on third-country oil suppliers to Cuba and halted prior Venezuelan shipments, triggering severe fuel shortages, nationwide blackouts, and protests. President Trump has publicly urged Cuban leaders to "make a deal," with limited diplomatic contacts reported in February and March, including a May CIA-level meeting in Havana. These steps occur alongside reinstated sanctions, the May indictment of Raúl Castro, and reversal of prior Biden-era easing measures. No comprehensive trade agreement, embargo relief, or normalized economic framework has materialized amid the ongoing energy crisis and regime-change signals. Traders assessing timelines for any economic deal must weigh these enforcement actions against the absence of concrete breakthroughs or scheduled high-level summits.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over trade, tariffs, sanctions, or the US embargo on Cuba, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Cuba by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying agreement may include, but is not limited to, US sanctions relief for Cuba or other easing of U.S. restrictions on Cuban imports, exports, shipping, payments, energy trade, or other trade-related activity.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Cuba as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
Only deals which are officially announced by both parties or confirmed by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will qualify. Informal announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and Cuba, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
A qualifying agreement may include, but is not limited to, US sanctions relief for Cuba or other easing of U.S. restrictions on Cuban imports, exports, shipping, payments, energy trade, or other trade-related activity.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Cuba as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
Only deals which are officially announced by both parties or confirmed by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will qualify. Informal announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and Cuba, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
交易量
$430,143結束日期
2026-06-30市場開放時間
Jun 11, 2026, 9:50 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The Trump administration's maximum-pressure approach has defined US-Cuba dynamics since early 2026. Following the capture of Venezuela's Maduro, an executive order imposed tariffs on third-country oil suppliers to Cuba and halted prior Venezuelan shipments, triggering severe fuel shortages, nationwide blackouts, and protests. President Trump has publicly urged Cuban leaders to "make a deal," with limited diplomatic contacts reported in February and March, including a May CIA-level meeting in Havana. These steps occur alongside reinstated sanctions, the May indictment of Raúl Castro, and reversal of prior Biden-era easing measures. No comprehensive trade agreement, embargo relief, or normalized economic framework has materialized amid the ongoing energy crisis and regime-change signals. Traders assessing timelines for any economic deal must weigh these enforcement actions against the absence of concrete breakthroughs or scheduled high-level summits.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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