The Trump administration’s January 2026 fuel blockade and subsequent executive orders expanding secondary sanctions on Cuban entities, including GAESA and state oil firms, have sharply tightened economic pressure and deepened Cuba’s fuel and power shortages. These measures, reinforced by additional designations through July 2026, follow earlier prisoner releases and preliminary talks confirmed by Cuban officials in March, yet recent policy signals emphasize demands for political and economic liberalization before any broader sanctions relief or trade normalization. Traders weigh the administration’s stated goal of regime change against Cuba’s limited reforms and external support from China, with any potential deal likely hinging on verifiable steps addressing certified claims, investment rules, and embargo conditions within the resolution window.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$432,046 交易量
December 31
25%
$432,046 交易量
December 31
25%
A qualifying agreement may include, but is not limited to, US sanctions relief for Cuba or other easing of U.S. restrictions on Cuban imports, exports, shipping, payments, energy trade, or other trade-related activity.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Cuba as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
Only deals which are officially announced by both parties or confirmed by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will qualify. Informal announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and Cuba, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
市場開放時間: Jun 11, 2026, 9:50 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...A qualifying agreement may include, but is not limited to, US sanctions relief for Cuba or other easing of U.S. restrictions on Cuban imports, exports, shipping, payments, energy trade, or other trade-related activity.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Cuba as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
Only deals which are officially announced by both parties or confirmed by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will qualify. Informal announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and Cuba, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The Trump administration’s January 2026 fuel blockade and subsequent executive orders expanding secondary sanctions on Cuban entities, including GAESA and state oil firms, have sharply tightened economic pressure and deepened Cuba’s fuel and power shortages. These measures, reinforced by additional designations through July 2026, follow earlier prisoner releases and preliminary talks confirmed by Cuban officials in March, yet recent policy signals emphasize demands for political and economic liberalization before any broader sanctions relief or trade normalization. Traders weigh the administration’s stated goal of regime change against Cuba’s limited reforms and external support from China, with any potential deal likely hinging on verifiable steps addressing certified claims, investment rules, and embargo conditions within the resolution window.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於



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