US sanctions imposed since January 2026, including tariffs on oil suppliers and a fuel blockade following the Maduro operation, have triggered Cuba’s worst economic crisis in decades, marked by severe shortages, blackouts, and collapsing activity. This pressure has prompted confirmed diplomatic talks, with Cuban officials acknowledging negotiations in March 2026 over energy, sanctions relief, and reforms, alongside prisoner releases and meetings involving US officials such as the CIA Director. The Trump administration has repeatedly urged a deal involving ports, tourism, and private-sector openings, while maintaining demands for economic liberalization and security cooperation. Recent US export growth to Cuba’s private sector reflects limited openings amid the broader embargo framework, leaving outcomes dependent on whether talks produce concrete agreements before further escalation or stalemate.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$430,441 交易量
December 31
15%
$430,441 交易量
December 31
15%
A qualifying agreement may include, but is not limited to, US sanctions relief for Cuba or other easing of U.S. restrictions on Cuban imports, exports, shipping, payments, energy trade, or other trade-related activity.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Cuba as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
Only deals which are officially announced by both parties or confirmed by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will qualify. Informal announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and Cuba, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
市場開放時間: Jun 11, 2026, 9:50 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...A qualifying agreement may include, but is not limited to, US sanctions relief for Cuba or other easing of U.S. restrictions on Cuban imports, exports, shipping, payments, energy trade, or other trade-related activity.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Cuba as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
Only deals which are officially announced by both parties or confirmed by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will qualify. Informal announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and Cuba, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...US sanctions imposed since January 2026, including tariffs on oil suppliers and a fuel blockade following the Maduro operation, have triggered Cuba’s worst economic crisis in decades, marked by severe shortages, blackouts, and collapsing activity. This pressure has prompted confirmed diplomatic talks, with Cuban officials acknowledging negotiations in March 2026 over energy, sanctions relief, and reforms, alongside prisoner releases and meetings involving US officials such as the CIA Director. The Trump administration has repeatedly urged a deal involving ports, tourism, and private-sector openings, while maintaining demands for economic liberalization and security cooperation. Recent US export growth to Cuba’s private sector reflects limited openings amid the broader embargo framework, leaving outcomes dependent on whether talks produce concrete agreements before further escalation or stalemate.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於



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