The Trump administration's maximum pressure campaign, including a January 2026 fuel blockade and May Executive Order 14404 imposing new sanctions on Cuban military-linked entities, energy, mining, and financial sectors, remains the dominant factor shaping trader views on any near-term US-Cuba economic deal. These measures, alongside July sanctions targeting the tourism ministry, have deepened Cuba's energy and economic crisis while prompting limited Cuban reforms and reports of preliminary talks on prisoner releases, property claims, and investment. No comprehensive agreement has emerged despite earlier 2026 negotiations, and Cuba has rejected certain US offers. Upcoming Senate actions or further diplomatic signals could influence probabilities before typical resolution windows.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$430,441 交易量
December 31
15%
$430,441 交易量
December 31
15%
A qualifying agreement may include, but is not limited to, US sanctions relief for Cuba or other easing of U.S. restrictions on Cuban imports, exports, shipping, payments, energy trade, or other trade-related activity.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Cuba as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
Only deals which are officially announced by both parties or confirmed by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will qualify. Informal announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and Cuba, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
市場開放時間: Jun 11, 2026, 9:50 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...A qualifying agreement may include, but is not limited to, US sanctions relief for Cuba or other easing of U.S. restrictions on Cuban imports, exports, shipping, payments, energy trade, or other trade-related activity.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Cuba as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
Only deals which are officially announced by both parties or confirmed by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will qualify. Informal announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and Cuba, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The Trump administration's maximum pressure campaign, including a January 2026 fuel blockade and May Executive Order 14404 imposing new sanctions on Cuban military-linked entities, energy, mining, and financial sectors, remains the dominant factor shaping trader views on any near-term US-Cuba economic deal. These measures, alongside July sanctions targeting the tourism ministry, have deepened Cuba's energy and economic crisis while prompting limited Cuban reforms and reports of preliminary talks on prisoner releases, property claims, and investment. No comprehensive agreement has emerged despite earlier 2026 negotiations, and Cuba has rejected certain US offers. Upcoming Senate actions or further diplomatic signals could influence probabilities before typical resolution windows.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於



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