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霍爾木茲 預測與賠率

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Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by end of April?

Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by end of April?

1%

40+

$1M 交易量

$32.7K Liq.

Ends 大約 21 小時前

Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of April?

Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of April?

98%

0-10

$231K 交易量

$61.2K Liq.

Ends 大約 21 小時前

Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of May?

Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of May?

53%

10-20

$0 交易量

$596 Liq.

Ends 大約 1 個月內

Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?

Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?

42%

May 31

$11M 交易量

$548K today

$276K Liq.

266

Ends 大約 21 小時前

US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by...?

US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by...?

1%

April 30

$4M 交易量

$29.7K Liq.

174

Ends 大約 1 個月前

Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April?

Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April?

1%

$434K 交易量

$14.0K Liq.

52

Ends 大約 21 小時前

Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?

Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?

18%

$47.6K 交易量

$75.1K Liq.

Ends 大約 1 個月內

How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of May 4?

How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of May 4?

52%

25-49

$0 交易量

$1.5K Liq.

Ends 9 天內

Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?

Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?

78%

20+

$3.5K 交易量

$16.1K Liq.

Ends 大約 1 個月內

Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30?

Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30?

<1%

United Kingdom

$3M 交易量

$63.8K Liq.

143

Ends 大約 21 小時前

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?

7%

$5M 交易量

$809K today

$350K Liq.

Ends 14 天內

How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of Apr 27?

How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of Apr 27?

62%

25-49

$46.3K 交易量

$95.2K Liq.

Ends 2 天內

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

47%

$2M 交易量

$359K today

$238K Liq.

Ends 2 個月內

Nothing Ever Happens: April

Nothing Ever Happens: April

99%

Nothing

$71.5K 交易量

$5.5K Liq.

Ends 大約 21 小時前

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

<1%

$37M 交易量

$2M today

$212K Liq.

3

Ends 大約 21 小時前

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

22%

$5M 交易量

$366K today

$331K Liq.

Ends 大約 1 個月內

Khamenei # posts April 28 - May 5, 2026?

Khamenei # posts April 28 - May 5, 2026?

29%

15-19

$1.9K 交易量

$3.1K Liq.

Ends 5 天內

Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?

Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?

5%

$411K 交易量

$92.2K today

$41.2K Liq.

34

Ends 大約 1 個月內

Khamenei # posts April 24 - May 1, 2026?

Khamenei # posts April 24 - May 1, 2026?

68%

<5

$15.6K 交易量

$3.8K Liq.

Ends 大約 19 小時內

Khamenei # posts May 1 - May 8, 2026?

Khamenei # posts May 1 - May 8, 2026?

17%

15-19

$1.2K 交易量

$687 Liq.

Ends 8 天內

Frequently Asked Questions

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Polymarket currently hosts 106 active markets for 霍爾木茲 that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by end of April?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $69.8M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 100% chance to No. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on 霍爾木茲 predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.