Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a narrow 53% implied probability for no change in Banxico's 6.75% policy rate at the June meeting, edging out 45.5% for a decrease amid a split 3-2 Governing Board vote to cut 25 basis points on March 26 despite headline inflation accelerating to 4.59% in March—above the 3% target midpoint. Minutes released April 9 revealed rifts over persistent core inflation near 4.45% versus growth risks and peso stability around 17.25 USD/MXN, fostering uncertainty on easing pace. Key differentiators include upcoming May policy decision, April CPI data, and U.S. Federal Reserve signals, with low 29.5% odds for a hike reflecting dovish momentum.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Decrease 64%
No change 48%
Increase 27%
Decrease
50%
No change
48%
Increase
27%
Decrease 64%
No change 48%
Increase 27%
Decrease
50%
No change
48%
Increase
27%
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Mexico after its policy meeting scheduled for June 25, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Mexico calendar: https://www.banxico.org.mx/viewers2/JSP/calendarioDifusion_es.jsp
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Mexico's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
市場開放時間: Mar 27, 2026, 4:41 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Mexico after its policy meeting scheduled for June 25, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Mexico calendar: https://www.banxico.org.mx/viewers2/JSP/calendarioDifusion_es.jsp
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Mexico's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a narrow 53% implied probability for no change in Banxico's 6.75% policy rate at the June meeting, edging out 45.5% for a decrease amid a split 3-2 Governing Board vote to cut 25 basis points on March 26 despite headline inflation accelerating to 4.59% in March—above the 3% target midpoint. Minutes released April 9 revealed rifts over persistent core inflation near 4.45% versus growth risks and peso stability around 17.25 USD/MXN, fostering uncertainty on easing pace. Key differentiators include upcoming May policy decision, April CPI data, and U.S. Federal Reserve signals, with low 29.5% odds for a hike reflecting dovish momentum.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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