Canada’s July 2026 monthly GDP flash estimate from Statistics Canada came in at 0.0%, following a revised 0.3% gain in June, anchoring the 0.0–0.1% outcome at 60.5% implied probability on Polymarket. Preliminary sector data showed gains in real estate, rental and leasing, and professional services offsetting declines in retail trade and manufacturing. This flat reading aligns with the post-Q2 slowdown after the economy’s 3.3% annualized advance in the second quarter, driven by export recovery and consumer spending. July merchandise trade data reinforced the picture, with exports falling 2.3% and the surplus narrowing sharply amid lower energy and gold shipments. The official July release on September 29 remains the key near-term catalyst, though the preliminary print and softening trade momentum have concentrated trader consensus around near-zero growth.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於0.0%至0.1% 61%
低於0.0% 27%
0.2%至0.3% 13%
0.6% 至 0.7% 3.1%
最新
最新
2026-09-29
低於0.0%
27%
0.0%至0.1%
61%
0.2%至0.3%
13%
0.4%至0.5%
3%
0.6% 至 0.7%
3%
0.8%及以上
<1%
0.0%至0.1% 61%
低於0.0% 27%
0.2%至0.3% 13%
0.6% 至 0.7% 3.1%
最新
最新
2026-09-29
低於0.0%
$1,130 交易量
27%
0.0%至0.1%
$575 交易量
61%
0.2%至0.3%
$57 交易量
13%
0.4%至0.5%
$1,094 交易量
3%
0.6% 至 0.7%
$95 交易量
3%
0.8%及以上
$1,047 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve according to Canada’s gross domestic product growth rate over the one-month period ending July 2026 (Real GDP monthly change, %), as reported by Statistics Canada’s (StatCan) “Gross domestic product by industry” release for July 2026, scheduled for release on September 29, 2026.
The GDP release and relevant statistics are expected to be made available here: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/ind1-eng.htm
If the specified release is not published, this market will resolve based on the first published figure for the specified month’s GDP growth rate compared to the prior month. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates compared to the prior month to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following month or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3569.Canada’s July 2026 monthly GDP flash estimate from Statistics Canada came in at 0.0%, following a revised 0.3% gain in June, anchoring the 0.0–0.1% outcome at 60.5% implied probability on Polymarket. Preliminary sector data showed gains in real estate, rental and leasing, and professional services offsetting declines in retail trade and manufacturing. This flat reading aligns with the post-Q2 slowdown after the economy’s 3.3% annualized advance in the second quarter, driven by export recovery and consumer spending. July merchandise trade data reinforced the picture, with exports falling 2.3% and the surplus narrowing sharply amid lower energy and gold shipments. The official July release on September 29 remains the key near-term catalyst, though the preliminary print and softening trade momentum have concentrated trader consensus around near-zero growth.
This market will resolve according to Canada’s gross domestic product growth rate over the one-month period ending July 2026 (Real GDP monthly change, %), as reported by Statistics Canada’s (StatCan) “Gross domestic product by industry” release for July 2026, scheduled for release on September 29, 2026.
The GDP release and relevant statistics are expected to be made available here: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/ind1-eng.htm
If the specified release is not published, this market will resolve based on the first published figure for the specified month’s GDP growth rate compared to the prior month. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates compared to the prior month to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following month or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3569.
The GDP release and relevant statistics are expected to be made available here: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/ind1-eng.htm
If the specified release is not published, this market will resolve based on the first published figure for the specified month’s GDP growth rate compared to the prior month. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates compared to the prior month to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following month or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3569.
市場開放時間： Sep 8, 2026, 7:36 PM ET
交易量
$4,000結束日期
2026-09-29市場開放時間
Sep 8, 2026, 7:36 PM ETThis market will resolve according to Canada’s gross domestic product growth rate over the one-month period ending July 2026 (Real GDP monthly change, %), as reported by Statistics Canada’s (StatCan) “Gross domestic product by industry” release for July 2026, scheduled for release on September 29, 2026.
The GDP release and relevant statistics are expected to be made available here: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/ind1-eng.htm
If the specified release is not published, this market will resolve based on the first published figure for the specified month’s GDP growth rate compared to the prior month. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates compared to the prior month to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following month or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3569.Canada’s July 2026 monthly GDP flash estimate from Statistics Canada came in at 0.0%, following a revised 0.3% gain in June, anchoring the 0.0–0.1% outcome at 60.5% implied probability on Polymarket. Preliminary sector data showed gains in real estate, rental and leasing, and professional services offsetting declines in retail trade and manufacturing. This flat reading aligns with the post-Q2 slowdown after the economy’s 3.3% annualized advance in the second quarter, driven by export recovery and consumer spending. July merchandise trade data reinforced the picture, with exports falling 2.3% and the surplus narrowing sharply amid lower energy and gold shipments. The official July release on September 29 remains the key near-term catalyst, though the preliminary print and softening trade momentum have concentrated trader consensus around near-zero growth.
This market will resolve according to Canada’s gross domestic product growth rate over the one-month period ending July 2026 (Real GDP monthly change, %), as reported by Statistics Canada’s (StatCan) “Gross domestic product by industry” release for July 2026, scheduled for release on September 29, 2026.
The GDP release and relevant statistics are expected to be made available here: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/ind1-eng.htm
If the specified release is not published, this market will resolve based on the first published figure for the specified month’s GDP growth rate compared to the prior month. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates compared to the prior month to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following month or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3569.
The GDP release and relevant statistics are expected to be made available here: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/ind1-eng.htm
If the specified release is not published, this market will resolve based on the first published figure for the specified month’s GDP growth rate compared to the prior month. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates compared to the prior month to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following month or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3569.
交易量
$4,000結束日期
2026-09-29市場開放時間
Sep 8, 2026, 7:36 PM ETCanada’s July 2026 monthly GDP flash estimate from Statistics Canada came in at 0.0%, following a revised 0.3% gain in June, anchoring the 0.0–0.1% outcome at 60.5% implied probability on Polymarket. Preliminary sector data showed gains in real estate, rental and leasing, and professional services offsetting declines in retail trade and manufacturing. This flat reading aligns with the post-Q2 slowdown after the economy’s 3.3% annualized advance in the second quarter, driven by export recovery and consumer spending. July merchandise trade data reinforced the picture, with exports falling 2.3% and the surplus narrowing sharply amid lower energy and gold shipments. The official July release on September 29 remains the key near-term catalyst, though the preliminary print and softening trade momentum have concentrated trader consensus around near-zero growth.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions