Recent Middle East conflict-driven energy price spikes have lifted Canada’s headline CPI to 3.0% year-over-year in July 2026, with gasoline the dominant driver, while core measures remain near 2%. Bank of Canada projections in the July Monetary Policy Report anticipate inflation easing toward 2.5% through the second half of the year as oil prices moderate along the futures curve, supporting the closely matched market-implied odds between the 2.5–2.9% and 3.0–3.4% annual outcomes. Traders weigh the durability of these temporary cost pressures against subdued shelter and services inflation, a 2.25% policy rate held steady on September 2, and risks from U.S. tariffs or further oil volatility ahead of the August CPI release on September 14.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於2.5–2.9% 35.9%
3.0-3.4% 34.6%
3.5-3.9% 15.0%
2.0–2.4% 12.4%
$41,917 交易量
$41,917 交易量
2027-01-17
低於1.0%
1%
1.0–1.4%
3%
1.5–1.9%
2%
2.0–2.4%
12%
2.5–2.9%
36%
3.0-3.4%
35%
3.5-3.9%
15%
4.0%以上
2%
2.5–2.9% 35.9%
3.0-3.4% 34.6%
3.5-3.9% 15.0%
2.0–2.4% 12.4%
$41,917 交易量
$41,917 交易量
2027-01-17
低於1.0%
$1,220 交易量
1%
1.0–1.4%
$5,465 交易量
3%
1.5–1.9%
$3,466 交易量
2%
2.0–2.4%
$2,555 交易量
12%
2.5–2.9%
$10,211 交易量
36%
3.0-3.4%
$14,248 交易量
35%
3.5-3.9%
$4,214 交易量
15%
4.0%以上
$539 交易量
2%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices over the 12-month period ending December 2026 in Canada, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by Statistics Canada.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics Canada report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics Canada Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start), currently scheduled to be released on January 18, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Once available, you can find this report by clicking on the "Major Economic Indicators" heading on the home page of https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start and selecting the “Consumer Price Index” report for the relevant month. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 1” under the "% change" column for the relevant month and year compared to the same month of the previous year.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics Canada CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3665Recent Middle East conflict-driven energy price spikes have lifted Canada’s headline CPI to 3.0% year-over-year in July 2026, with gasoline the dominant driver, while core measures remain near 2%. Bank of Canada projections in the July Monetary Policy Report anticipate inflation easing toward 2.5% through the second half of the year as oil prices moderate along the futures curve, supporting the closely matched market-implied odds between the 2.5–2.9% and 3.0–3.4% annual outcomes. Traders weigh the durability of these temporary cost pressures against subdued shelter and services inflation, a 2.25% policy rate held steady on September 2, and risks from U.S. tariffs or further oil volatility ahead of the August CPI release on September 14.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices over the 12-month period ending December 2026 in Canada, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by Statistics Canada.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics Canada report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics Canada Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start), currently scheduled to be released on January 18, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Once available, you can find this report by clicking on the "Major Economic Indicators" heading on the home page of https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start and selecting the “Consumer Price Index” report for the relevant month. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 1” under the "% change" column for the relevant month and year compared to the same month of the previous year.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics Canada CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3665
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics Canada report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics Canada Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start), currently scheduled to be released on January 18, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Once available, you can find this report by clicking on the "Major Economic Indicators" heading on the home page of https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start and selecting the “Consumer Price Index” report for the relevant month. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 1” under the "% change" column for the relevant month and year compared to the same month of the previous year.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics Canada CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3665
市場開放時間： Jan 21, 2026, 7:22 PM ET
交易量
$41,917結束日期
2027-01-18市場開放時間
Jan 21, 2026, 7:22 PM ETThis is a market about the variation of consumer prices over the 12-month period ending December 2026 in Canada, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by Statistics Canada.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics Canada report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics Canada Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start), currently scheduled to be released on January 18, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Once available, you can find this report by clicking on the "Major Economic Indicators" heading on the home page of https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start and selecting the “Consumer Price Index” report for the relevant month. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 1” under the "% change" column for the relevant month and year compared to the same month of the previous year.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics Canada CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3665Recent Middle East conflict-driven energy price spikes have lifted Canada’s headline CPI to 3.0% year-over-year in July 2026, with gasoline the dominant driver, while core measures remain near 2%. Bank of Canada projections in the July Monetary Policy Report anticipate inflation easing toward 2.5% through the second half of the year as oil prices moderate along the futures curve, supporting the closely matched market-implied odds between the 2.5–2.9% and 3.0–3.4% annual outcomes. Traders weigh the durability of these temporary cost pressures against subdued shelter and services inflation, a 2.25% policy rate held steady on September 2, and risks from U.S. tariffs or further oil volatility ahead of the August CPI release on September 14.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices over the 12-month period ending December 2026 in Canada, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by Statistics Canada.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics Canada report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics Canada Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start), currently scheduled to be released on January 18, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Once available, you can find this report by clicking on the "Major Economic Indicators" heading on the home page of https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start and selecting the “Consumer Price Index” report for the relevant month. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 1” under the "% change" column for the relevant month and year compared to the same month of the previous year.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics Canada CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3665
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics Canada report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics Canada Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start), currently scheduled to be released on January 18, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Once available, you can find this report by clicking on the "Major Economic Indicators" heading on the home page of https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start and selecting the “Consumer Price Index” report for the relevant month. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 1” under the "% change" column for the relevant month and year compared to the same month of the previous year.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics Canada CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3665
交易量
$41,917結束日期
2027-01-18市場開放時間
Jan 21, 2026, 7:22 PM ETRecent Middle East conflict-driven energy price spikes have lifted Canada’s headline CPI to 3.0% year-over-year in July 2026, with gasoline the dominant driver, while core measures remain near 2%. Bank of Canada projections in the July Monetary Policy Report anticipate inflation easing toward 2.5% through the second half of the year as oil prices moderate along the futures curve, supporting the closely matched market-implied odds between the 2.5–2.9% and 3.0–3.4% annual outcomes. Traders weigh the durability of these temporary cost pressures against subdued shelter and services inflation, a 2.25% policy rate held steady on September 2, and risks from U.S. tariffs or further oil volatility ahead of the August CPI release on September 14.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions