Recent U.S. producer price data underscore elevated wholesale inflation, with the August 2026 PPI YoY rising to 5.4%—0.1 percentage point above consensus—driven primarily by a 4.2% monthly surge in final demand energy prices amid higher diesel and gasoline costs. This follows a 4.7% July reading and aligns with broader pipeline pressures that have kept annual PPI well above the Federal Reserve’s 2% target. Trader-implied probabilities for the September 2026 figure cluster around 5.1–5.9%, reflecting uncertainty over whether energy volatility and goods price gains will sustain or moderate amid cooling core trends and the September 15–16 FOMC decision. The next release on October 15 will resolve the market after additional labor and CPI data provide further context on the inflation trajectory.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於5.9%以上 35%
5.1% 32%
5.8% 31%
5.3% 31%
≤5.0%
30%
5.1%
32%
5.2%
29%
5.3%
31%
5.4%
31%
5.5%
29%
5.6%
26%
5.7%
23%
5.8%
31%
5.9%以上
35%
5.9%以上 35%
5.1% 32%
5.8% 31%
5.3% 31%
≤5.0%
30%
5.1%
32%
5.2%
29%
5.3%
31%
5.4%
31%
5.5%
29%
5.6%
26%
5.7%
23%
5.8%
31%
5.9%以上
35%
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Producer Price Index (PPI) for final demand over the 12-month period ending in September 2026, before seasonal adjustment, according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Producer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/ppi/), currently scheduled to be released on October 15, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS PPI news release, which reports PPI over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 6.0%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. This market resolves on the total PPI for final demand figure, not the core PPI figure excluding food and energy.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next PPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
市場開放時間: Sep 11, 2026, 3:48 PM ET
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Producer Price Index (PPI) for final demand over the 12-month period ending in September 2026, before seasonal adjustment, according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Producer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/ppi/), currently scheduled to be released on October 15, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS PPI news release, which reports PPI over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 6.0%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. This market resolves on the total PPI for final demand figure, not the core PPI figure excluding food and energy.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next PPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Recent U.S. producer price data underscore elevated wholesale inflation, with the August 2026 PPI YoY rising to 5.4%—0.1 percentage point above consensus—driven primarily by a 4.2% monthly surge in final demand energy prices amid higher diesel and gasoline costs. This follows a 4.7% July reading and aligns with broader pipeline pressures that have kept annual PPI well above the Federal Reserve’s 2% target. Trader-implied probabilities for the September 2026 figure cluster around 5.1–5.9%, reflecting uncertainty over whether energy volatility and goods price gains will sustain or moderate amid cooling core trends and the September 15–16 FOMC decision. The next release on October 15 will resolve the market after additional labor and CPI data provide further context on the inflation trajectory.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於


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