China’s 2026 annual CPI inflation has settled in a narrow low-positive range amid subdued domestic demand and uneven cost pressures. Year-to-date readings through August show headline inflation averaging near 0.8 percent, with food prices remaining a drag while non-food components, particularly transport and energy, provided modest lifts from higher global commodity costs. Producer prices have rebounded more sharply on input costs, yet weak consumer spending has limited pass-through to the CPI basket. Analysts have adjusted full-year forecasts upward modestly to around 0.9 percent, citing stable core readings near 1 percent and limited further downside from pork deflation. These trends underpin trader consensus around the 0.6–1.0 percent bracket as the most probable annual outcome.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於0.6 – 1.0% 55%
0.1 – 0.5% 20.8%
1.1 – 1.5% 18%
-0.4 – 0.0% 2.5%
$83,692 交易量
$83,692 交易量
2027-01-09
低於-1.0%
1%
-0.9 – -0.5%
<1%
-0.4 – 0.0%
2%
0.1 – 0.5%
21%
0.6 – 1.0%
55%
1.1 – 1.5%
18%
1.6 – 2.0%
<1%
2.0-2.4%
2%
2.5%以上
<1%
0.6 – 1.0% 55%
0.1 – 0.5% 20.8%
1.1 – 1.5% 18%
-0.4 – 0.0% 2.5%
$83,692 交易量
$83,692 交易量
2027-01-09
低於-1.0%
$20,219 交易量
1%
-0.9 – -0.5%
$3,571 交易量
<1%
-0.4 – 0.0%
$4,990 交易量
2%
0.1 – 0.5%
$6,830 交易量
21%
0.6 – 1.0%
$13,023 交易量
55%
1.1 – 1.5%
$16,257 交易量
18%
1.6 – 2.0%
$6,856 交易量
<1%
2.0-2.4%
$8,359 交易量
2%
2.5%以上
$3,588 交易量
<1%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/China’s 2026 annual CPI inflation has settled in a narrow low-positive range amid subdued domestic demand and uneven cost pressures. Year-to-date readings through August show headline inflation averaging near 0.8 percent, with food prices remaining a drag while non-food components, particularly transport and energy, provided modest lifts from higher global commodity costs. Producer prices have rebounded more sharply on input costs, yet weak consumer spending has limited pass-through to the CPI basket. Analysts have adjusted full-year forecasts upward modestly to around 0.9 percent, citing stable core readings near 1 percent and limited further downside from pork deflation. These trends underpin trader consensus around the 0.6–1.0 percent bracket as the most probable annual outcome.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/
市場開放時間： Jan 21, 2026, 7:27 PM ET
交易量
$83,692結束日期
2027-01-10市場開放時間
Jan 21, 2026, 7:27 PM ETThis is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/China’s 2026 annual CPI inflation has settled in a narrow low-positive range amid subdued domestic demand and uneven cost pressures. Year-to-date readings through August show headline inflation averaging near 0.8 percent, with food prices remaining a drag while non-food components, particularly transport and energy, provided modest lifts from higher global commodity costs. Producer prices have rebounded more sharply on input costs, yet weak consumer spending has limited pass-through to the CPI basket. Analysts have adjusted full-year forecasts upward modestly to around 0.9 percent, citing stable core readings near 1 percent and limited further downside from pork deflation. These trends underpin trader consensus around the 0.6–1.0 percent bracket as the most probable annual outcome.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/
交易量
$83,692結束日期
2027-01-10市場開放時間
Jan 21, 2026, 7:27 PM ETChina’s 2026 annual CPI inflation has settled in a narrow low-positive range amid subdued domestic demand and uneven cost pressures. Year-to-date readings through August show headline inflation averaging near 0.8 percent, with food prices remaining a drag while non-food components, particularly transport and energy, provided modest lifts from higher global commodity costs. Producer prices have rebounded more sharply on input costs, yet weak consumer spending has limited pass-through to the CPI basket. Analysts have adjusted full-year forecasts upward modestly to around 0.9 percent, citing stable core readings near 1 percent and limited further downside from pork deflation. These trends underpin trader consensus around the 0.6–1.0 percent bracket as the most probable annual outcome.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions