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宏觀指標 預測與賠率

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6月美國通貨膨脹-年度

6月美國通貨膨脹-年度

42%

3.8%

$320K 交易量

$165K Liq.

Ends 24 天內

美聯儲利率在2027年之前會受到什麼衝擊?

美聯儲利率在2027年之前會受到什麼衝擊?

27%

↑ 4.25%

$2M 交易量

$141K Liq.

11

Ends 6 個月內

Fed Decision in October?

Fed Decision in October?

60%

No change

$8.3K 交易量

$186K Liq.

Ends 4 個月內

2026年的通脹會有多高?

2026年的通脹會有多高?

21%

高於4.5%

$1M 交易量

$72.1K Liq.

33

Ends 6 個月內

2026年中國年度GDP增長

2026年中國年度GDP增長

77%

4.0–5.0%

$715K 交易量

$148K Liq.

10

Ends 5 個月前

六月份的十幾顆雞蛋的價格?

六月份的十幾顆雞蛋的價格?

86%

2.00美元–2.25美元

$4.4K 交易量

$41.8K Liq.

Ends 24 天內

June Inflation UK - Annual

June Inflation UK - Annual

30%

2.2-2.4%

$9.0K 交易量

$8.3K Liq.

Ends 大約 1 個月內

2026年美國的失業率會有多高?

2026年美國的失業率會有多高?

10%

6.0%

$444K 交易量

$9.0K Liq.

14

Ends 6 個月內

6月美國通貨膨脹-每月

6月美國通貨膨脹-每月

92%

≤0.1%

$4.9K 交易量

$28.0K Liq.

Ends 24 天內

2026年6月核心CPI同比

2026年6月核心CPI同比

74%

2.5%

$969 交易量

$20.5K Liq.

Ends 24 天內

US GDP growth in Q2 2026?

US GDP growth in Q2 2026?

22%

2.0–2.5%

$7.5K 交易量

$10.3K Liq.

Ends 大約 1 個月內

China GDP growth (Y/Y) in Q2 2026?

China GDP growth (Y/Y) in Q2 2026?

66%

4.6-4.9%

$79.2K 交易量

$31.1K Liq.

Ends 25 天內

歐洲央行利率: 2026年9月

歐洲央行利率: 2026年9月

73%

不作變動

$330 交易量

$3.8K Liq.

Ends 3 個月內

2026年國內生產總值負增長?

2026年國內生產總值負增長?

9%

$27.8K 交易量

$3.3K Liq.

4

Ends 7 個月內

June Unemployment Rate

June Unemployment Rate

34%

4.3%

$2.3K 交易量

$13.5K Liq.

Ends 11 天內

Japan Core-Core CPI YoY in 2026

Japan Core-Core CPI YoY in 2026

46%

3.0-3.4%

$350 交易量

$1.3K Liq.

Ends 8 個月內

加拿大今年的失業率會是2016年以來最高的嗎?

加拿大今年的失業率會是2016年以來最高的嗎?

9%

$7.1K 交易量

$1.5K Liq.

2

Ends 8 個月內

2026年歐元區年度通脹

2026年歐元區年度通脹

47%

3.1%以上

$13.9K 交易量

$3.6K Liq.

3

Ends 7 個月內

2026年墨西哥年度通脹

2026年墨西哥年度通脹

28%

5.50% 以上

$42.3K 交易量

$3.1K Liq.

Ends 7 個月內

2026年世界GDP增長

2026年世界GDP增長

34%

3.1%

$18.0K 交易量

$3.5K Liq.

Ends 7 個月內

Frequently Asked Questions

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Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “加拿大今年的失業率會是2016年以來最高的嗎?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “美聯儲利率在2027年之前會受到什麼衝擊?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “美聯儲利率在2027年之前會受到什麼衝擊?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 26% chance to ↑ 4.25%. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on 宏觀指標 predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.