Recent July ISM Manufacturing PMI strength at 55.6—its highest since May 2022 and well above the 54.0 consensus—has anchored trader focus on sustained expansion for the August release. Broad-based gains in new orders, production, and employment (returning to growth for the first time in 18 months) reflect resilient domestic demand, AI-driven capital spending, and front-loading ahead of tariffs and Middle East supply risks. However, elevated input costs, slowing supplier deliveries, and mixed June manufacturing orders data introduce downside risks, while the spread of market-implied odds across the 54–56 range signals uncertainty over whether momentum holds or moderates toward the historical base rate near 52–53. Key near-term catalysts include the August employment report and any fresh tariff or geopolitical developments.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於54.0–54.9 19%
55.0–55.9 19%
56.0–56.9 17%
57.0–57.9 13%
最新
最新
2026-09-01
低於51.0
5%
51.0–51.9
5%
52.0–52.9
10%
53.0–53.9
12%
54.0–54.9
19%
55.0–55.9
19%
56.0–56.9
17%
57.0–57.9
13%
58.0–58.9
12%
59.0以上
5%
54.0–54.9 19%
55.0–55.9 19%
56.0–56.9 17%
57.0–57.9 13%
最新
最新
2026-09-01
低於51.0
$153 交易量
5%
51.0–51.9
$148 交易量
5%
52.0–52.9
$65 交易量
10%
53.0–53.9
$102 交易量
12%
54.0–54.9
$106 交易量
19%
55.0–55.9
$96 交易量
19%
56.0–56.9
$100 交易量
17%
57.0–57.9
$104 交易量
13%
58.0–58.9
$65 交易量
12%
59.0以上
$65 交易量
5%
This is a market about the ISM Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for August 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the manufacturing sector relative to the previous month; a reading below 50 indicates contraction.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Manufacturing PMI for August 2026 according to the monthly ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business released for August 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on September 1, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Manufacturing PMI registered 52.7 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Manufacturing PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Manufacturing PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent July ISM Manufacturing PMI strength at 55.6—its highest since May 2022 and well above the 54.0 consensus—has anchored trader focus on sustained expansion for the August release. Broad-based gains in new orders, production, and employment (returning to growth for the first time in 18 months) reflect resilient domestic demand, AI-driven capital spending, and front-loading ahead of tariffs and Middle East supply risks. However, elevated input costs, slowing supplier deliveries, and mixed June manufacturing orders data introduce downside risks, while the spread of market-implied odds across the 54–56 range signals uncertainty over whether momentum holds or moderates toward the historical base rate near 52–53. Key near-term catalysts include the August employment report and any fresh tariff or geopolitical developments.
This is a market about the ISM Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for August 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the manufacturing sector relative to the previous month; a reading below 50 indicates contraction.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Manufacturing PMI for August 2026 according to the monthly ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business released for August 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on September 1, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Manufacturing PMI registered 52.7 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Manufacturing PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Manufacturing PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Manufacturing PMI for August 2026 according to the monthly ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business released for August 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on September 1, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Manufacturing PMI registered 52.7 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Manufacturing PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Manufacturing PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
市場開放時間： Aug 4, 2026, 6:18 PM ET
交易量
$1,005結束日期
2026-09-01市場開放時間
Aug 4, 2026, 6:18 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about the ISM Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for August 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the manufacturing sector relative to the previous month; a reading below 50 indicates contraction.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Manufacturing PMI for August 2026 according to the monthly ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business released for August 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on September 1, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Manufacturing PMI registered 52.7 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Manufacturing PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Manufacturing PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent July ISM Manufacturing PMI strength at 55.6—its highest since May 2022 and well above the 54.0 consensus—has anchored trader focus on sustained expansion for the August release. Broad-based gains in new orders, production, and employment (returning to growth for the first time in 18 months) reflect resilient domestic demand, AI-driven capital spending, and front-loading ahead of tariffs and Middle East supply risks. However, elevated input costs, slowing supplier deliveries, and mixed June manufacturing orders data introduce downside risks, while the spread of market-implied odds across the 54–56 range signals uncertainty over whether momentum holds or moderates toward the historical base rate near 52–53. Key near-term catalysts include the August employment report and any fresh tariff or geopolitical developments.
This is a market about the ISM Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for August 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the manufacturing sector relative to the previous month; a reading below 50 indicates contraction.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Manufacturing PMI for August 2026 according to the monthly ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business released for August 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on September 1, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Manufacturing PMI registered 52.7 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Manufacturing PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Manufacturing PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Manufacturing PMI for August 2026 according to the monthly ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business released for August 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on September 1, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Manufacturing PMI registered 52.7 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Manufacturing PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Manufacturing PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
交易量
$1,005結束日期
2026-09-01市場開放時間
Aug 4, 2026, 6:18 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent July ISM Manufacturing PMI strength at 55.6—its highest since May 2022 and well above the 54.0 consensus—has anchored trader focus on sustained expansion for the August release. Broad-based gains in new orders, production, and employment (returning to growth for the first time in 18 months) reflect resilient domestic demand, AI-driven capital spending, and front-loading ahead of tariffs and Middle East supply risks. However, elevated input costs, slowing supplier deliveries, and mixed June manufacturing orders data introduce downside risks, while the spread of market-implied odds across the 54–56 range signals uncertainty over whether momentum holds or moderates toward the historical base rate near 52–53. Key near-term catalysts include the August employment report and any fresh tariff or geopolitical developments.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions