Incumbent Republican Jeff Crank holds a strong position in Colorado’s 5th Congressional District heading into the November 3 general election, reflected in the market’s 68.5% implied probability for the Republican nominee. The seat has never elected a Democrat, and forecasters rate it Likely Republican following Crank’s 2024 victory and a Cook Political Report Partisan Voting Index of R+5. Crank advanced unopposed in the June 30 Republican primary, while Democrat Jessica Killin secured her nomination with roughly 61-63% of the vote. A July internal poll showed the race close after candidate profiles, consistent with Democratic targeting and the district’s leftward trend in presidential margins, yet the combination of incumbency, fundraising, and historical voting patterns continues to anchor trader consensus around a Republican hold.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$12,899 交易量
$12,899 交易量
Republican Party
69%
Democratic Party
30%
$12,899 交易量
$12,899 交易量
Republican Party
69%
Democratic Party
30%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間: Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Incumbent Republican Jeff Crank holds a strong position in Colorado’s 5th Congressional District heading into the November 3 general election, reflected in the market’s 68.5% implied probability for the Republican nominee. The seat has never elected a Democrat, and forecasters rate it Likely Republican following Crank’s 2024 victory and a Cook Political Report Partisan Voting Index of R+5. Crank advanced unopposed in the June 30 Republican primary, while Democrat Jessica Killin secured her nomination with roughly 61-63% of the vote. A July internal poll showed the race close after candidate profiles, consistent with Democratic targeting and the district’s leftward trend in presidential margins, yet the combination of incumbency, fundraising, and historical voting patterns continues to anchor trader consensus around a Republican hold.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於


警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions