Incumbent Republican Jeff Crank faces Democrat Jessica Killin in Colorado’s 5th congressional district on November 3, with trader pricing reflecting the seat’s R+5 partisan voting index and consistent Republican performance in recent cycles. Crank secured the GOP nomination unopposed after winning the open seat in 2024, while Killin prevailed in a June Democratic primary. Forecasters rate the contest Likely or Lean Republican, citing the district’s history of double-digit GOP margins despite gradual leftward shifts and unaffiliated voter growth around Colorado Springs. A Democratic internal poll in July showed a statistical tie after messaging, underscoring fundraising parity and targeting by House Democrats, yet the overall environment and lack of subsequent public surveys supporting a flip sustain the current market consensus favoring the Republican outcome.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$12,899 交易量
$12,899 交易量
Republican Party
70%
Democratic Party
30%
$12,899 交易量
$12,899 交易量
Republican Party
70%
Democratic Party
30%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間: Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Incumbent Republican Jeff Crank faces Democrat Jessica Killin in Colorado’s 5th congressional district on November 3, with trader pricing reflecting the seat’s R+5 partisan voting index and consistent Republican performance in recent cycles. Crank secured the GOP nomination unopposed after winning the open seat in 2024, while Killin prevailed in a June Democratic primary. Forecasters rate the contest Likely or Lean Republican, citing the district’s history of double-digit GOP margins despite gradual leftward shifts and unaffiliated voter growth around Colorado Springs. A Democratic internal poll in July showed a statistical tie after messaging, underscoring fundraising parity and targeting by House Democrats, yet the overall environment and lack of subsequent public surveys supporting a flip sustain the current market consensus favoring the Republican outcome.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於


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警惕外部連結哦。
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