Labour's Rowenna Davis leads trader consensus at 64% implied probability to win the Croydon mayoral election on May 7, reflecting betting market trends and projections favoring her since March, driven by her status as a local Waddon councillor and party momentum amid a competitive council race where Conservatives hold a projected plurality but no majority. Incumbent Conservative Jason Perry trails at 24%, buoyed by endorsements like a defecting Reform UK supporter but challenged by voter fatigue after stabilizing borough finances post-Labour's prior bankruptcy. Green Peter Underwood (5.4%) and Reform's Ben Flook (4.3%), hit by internal party resignations, lag as minor contenders, with others under 2%. Candidate lists confirmed April 9, with minor manifesto tweaks for Davis not altering the dynamic ahead of counting May 8.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於Rowenna Davis 64%
Jason Perry 24%
Peter Underwood 5.4%
Ben Flook 4.3%

Rowenna Davis
64%

Jason Perry
24%

Peter Underwood
5%

Ben Flook
4%

Richard Howard
2%

Jose Joseph
2%

Michael Pusey
1%
Rowenna Davis 64%
Jason Perry 24%
Peter Underwood 5.4%
Ben Flook 4.3%

Rowenna Davis
64%

Jason Perry
24%

Peter Underwood
5%

Ben Flook
4%

Richard Howard
2%

Jose Joseph
2%

Michael Pusey
1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Croydon as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the London Borough of Croydon Council.
市場開放時間: Apr 6, 2026, 7:37 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Croydon as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the London Borough of Croydon Council.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Labour's Rowenna Davis leads trader consensus at 64% implied probability to win the Croydon mayoral election on May 7, reflecting betting market trends and projections favoring her since March, driven by her status as a local Waddon councillor and party momentum amid a competitive council race where Conservatives hold a projected plurality but no majority. Incumbent Conservative Jason Perry trails at 24%, buoyed by endorsements like a defecting Reform UK supporter but challenged by voter fatigue after stabilizing borough finances post-Labour's prior bankruptcy. Green Peter Underwood (5.4%) and Reform's Ben Flook (4.3%), hit by internal party resignations, lag as minor contenders, with others under 2%. Candidate lists confirmed April 9, with minor manifesto tweaks for Davis not altering the dynamic ahead of counting May 8.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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