Recent National Weather Service and private model guidance for Austin shows a narrow range of possible daily maxima centered on the low-to-mid 90s, with subtle differences in forecast cloud cover, boundary-layer moisture, and weak southeasterly flow determining whether the high settles near 90–91 °F or climbs into the mid-90s. Afternoon heating under partly sunny skies could support modest instability and scattered showers that cap temperatures, while drier air and clearer conditions would allow greater insolation and push readings higher. Historical July climatology places the average high near 95 °F, so the current spread largely reflects uncertainty in the 24–48-hour evolution of the subtropical ridge and any weak frontal boundary rather than long-term climate signals. Updated model runs and morning soundings will likely tighten the distribution before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於7月7日奧斯汀的最高溫度?
96-97°F 100.0%
華氏85度或以下 <1%
86-87°F <1%
88-89°F <1%
$59,808 交易量
$59,808 交易量
華氏85度或以下
否
86-87°F
否
88-89°F
否
90-91°F
否
92-93°F
否
94-95°F
否
96-97°F
是
98-99°F
否
100-101°F
否
102-103°F
否
華氏104度或更高
否
96-97°F 100.0%
華氏85度或以下 <1%
86-87°F <1%
88-89°F <1%
$59,808 交易量
$59,808 交易量
華氏85度或以下
否
86-87°F
否
88-89°F
否
90-91°F
否
92-93°F
否
94-95°F
否
96-97°F
是
98-99°F
否
100-101°F
否
102-103°F
否
華氏104度或更高
否
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Jul 5, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Recent National Weather Service and private model guidance for Austin shows a narrow range of possible daily maxima centered on the low-to-mid 90s, with subtle differences in forecast cloud cover, boundary-layer moisture, and weak southeasterly flow determining whether the high settles near 90–91 °F or climbs into the mid-90s. Afternoon heating under partly sunny skies could support modest instability and scattered showers that cap temperatures, while drier air and clearer conditions would allow greater insolation and push readings higher. Historical July climatology places the average high near 95 °F, so the current spread largely reflects uncertainty in the 24–48-hour evolution of the subtropical ridge and any weak frontal boundary rather than long-term climate signals. Updated model runs and morning soundings will likely tighten the distribution before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於


警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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