Official observations from Austin-Bergstrom International Airport confirm that the June 1 high reached or exceeded 92°F, aligning with long-term climatology for early June in central Texas where average daily highs climb into the low 90s amid strengthening subtropical ridging and increasing solar insolation. National Weather Service data and historical records show June 1 maxima above this threshold in most recent decades, with an all-time peak of 99°F, reinforcing the market’s 100% implied probability for the 92°F-or-higher bin. Minor forecast uncertainty in afternoon mixing or brief cloud cover could have narrowed the range pre-event, but post-observation resolution leaves no realistic scenarios capable of shifting the outcome.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Austin on June 1?
Highest temperature in Austin on June 1?
92°F or higher 100.0%
73°F or below <1%
74-75°F <1%
76-77°F <1%
$36,956 交易量
$36,956 交易量
2026-06-01
73°F or below
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
No
90-91°F
No
92°F or higher
Yes
92°F or higher 100.0%
73°F or below <1%
74-75°F <1%
76-77°F <1%
$36,956 交易量
$36,956 交易量
2026-06-01
73°F or below
$3,654 交易量
No
74-75°F
$2,482 交易量
No
76-77°F
$1,814 交易量
No
78-79°F
$494 交易量
No
80-81°F
$741 交易量
No
82-83°F
$3,247 交易量
No
84-85°F
$2,669 交易量
No
86-87°F
$3,844 交易量
No
88-89°F
$3,979 交易量
No
90-91°F
$5,982 交易量
No
92°F or higher
$8,050 交易量
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official observations from Austin-Bergstrom International Airport confirm that the June 1 high reached or exceeded 92°F, aligning with long-term climatology for early June in central Texas where average daily highs climb into the low 90s amid strengthening subtropical ridging and increasing solar insolation. National Weather Service data and historical records show June 1 maxima above this threshold in most recent decades, with an all-time peak of 99°F, reinforcing the market’s 100% implied probability for the 92°F-or-higher bin. Minor forecast uncertainty in afternoon mixing or brief cloud cover could have narrowed the range pre-event, but post-observation resolution leaves no realistic scenarios capable of shifting the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： May 30, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
交易量
$36,956結束日期
2026-06-01市場開放時間
May 30, 2026, 12:58 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official observations from Austin-Bergstrom International Airport confirm that the June 1 high reached or exceeded 92°F, aligning with long-term climatology for early June in central Texas where average daily highs climb into the low 90s amid strengthening subtropical ridging and increasing solar insolation. National Weather Service data and historical records show June 1 maxima above this threshold in most recent decades, with an all-time peak of 99°F, reinforcing the market’s 100% implied probability for the 92°F-or-higher bin. Minor forecast uncertainty in afternoon mixing or brief cloud cover could have narrowed the range pre-event, but post-observation resolution leaves no realistic scenarios capable of shifting the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$36,956結束日期
2026-06-01市場開放時間
May 30, 2026, 12:58 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Official observations from Austin-Bergstrom International Airport confirm that the June 1 high reached or exceeded 92°F, aligning with long-term climatology for early June in central Texas where average daily highs climb into the low 90s amid strengthening subtropical ridging and increasing solar insolation. National Weather Service data and historical records show June 1 maxima above this threshold in most recent decades, with an all-time peak of 99°F, reinforcing the market’s 100% implied probability for the 92°F-or-higher bin. Minor forecast uncertainty in afternoon mixing or brief cloud cover could have narrowed the range pre-event, but post-observation resolution leaves no realistic scenarios capable of shifting the outcome.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions