Recent meteorological forecasts from regional models indicate Beijing's peak temperature on May 20 will settle at 24°C, driven by a transitional spring pattern featuring moderate southerly flow and limited daytime heating under partly cloudy skies. This aligns with climatological baselines for mid-May in the North China Plain, where average highs hover near 26–28°C but current atmospheric stability suppresses further warming. Official monitoring from the China Meteorological Administration reinforces the outlook through observed surface observations and ensemble model consensus. While a sudden shift in cloud cover or wind patterns could theoretically push readings to 25°C or higher, the tight clustering of data makes such deviations highly improbable by market close.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Beijing on May 20?
24°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$46,538 交易量
$46,538 交易量
18°C or below
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
Yes
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C or higher
No
24°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$46,538 交易量
$46,538 交易量
18°C or below
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
Yes
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: May 18, 2026, 12:10 AM ET
已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Recent meteorological forecasts from regional models indicate Beijing's peak temperature on May 20 will settle at 24°C, driven by a transitional spring pattern featuring moderate southerly flow and limited daytime heating under partly cloudy skies. This aligns with climatological baselines for mid-May in the North China Plain, where average highs hover near 26–28°C but current atmospheric stability suppresses further warming. Official monitoring from the China Meteorological Administration reinforces the outlook through observed surface observations and ensemble model consensus. While a sudden shift in cloud cover or wind patterns could theoretically push readings to 25°C or higher, the tight clustering of data makes such deviations highly improbable by market close.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於


警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions