Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) observations at Gimhae International Airport station— the official resolution source for this market—confirm Busan's highest temperature reached 22°C midday on May 6 under clear skies and light southwest winds, anchoring trader consensus at virtually 100% implied probability. This mild peak aligns with short-range KMA model consensus projecting 21–27°C highs but tempered by typical early May climatology, where Busan averages 20–23°C amid continental high-pressure influence and sea-breeze moderation. Evening readings have dipped to 20–21°C with falling solar insolation, minimizing further warming. Realistic challenges would require an official data revision uncovering a missed higher peak, though such discrepancies are rare post-midday; traders await the final daily KMA report for closure.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Busan on May 6?
Highest temperature in Busan on May 6?
22°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$65,438 交易量
$65,438 交易量
2026-05-06
15°C or below
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
Yes
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C or higher
No
22°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$65,438 交易量
$65,438 交易量
2026-05-06
15°C or below
$7,602 交易量
No
16°C
$962 交易量
No
17°C
$496 交易量
No
18°C
$553 交易量
No
19°C
$906 交易量
No
20°C
$2,101 交易量
No
21°C
$5,505 交易量
No
22°C
$8,399 交易量
Yes
23°C
$17,747 交易量
No
24°C
$16,705 交易量
No
25°C or higher
$4,463 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) observations at Gimhae International Airport station— the official resolution source for this market—confirm Busan's highest temperature reached 22°C midday on May 6 under clear skies and light southwest winds, anchoring trader consensus at virtually 100% implied probability. This mild peak aligns with short-range KMA model consensus projecting 21–27°C highs but tempered by typical early May climatology, where Busan averages 20–23°C amid continental high-pressure influence and sea-breeze moderation. Evening readings have dipped to 20–21°C with falling solar insolation, minimizing further warming. Realistic challenges would require an official data revision uncovering a missed higher peak, though such discrepancies are rare post-midday; traders await the final daily KMA report for closure.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： May 4, 2026, 12:49 PM ET
交易量
$65,438結束日期
2026-05-06市場開放時間
May 4, 2026, 12:49 PM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) observations at Gimhae International Airport station— the official resolution source for this market—confirm Busan's highest temperature reached 22°C midday on May 6 under clear skies and light southwest winds, anchoring trader consensus at virtually 100% implied probability. This mild peak aligns with short-range KMA model consensus projecting 21–27°C highs but tempered by typical early May climatology, where Busan averages 20–23°C amid continental high-pressure influence and sea-breeze moderation. Evening readings have dipped to 20–21°C with falling solar insolation, minimizing further warming. Realistic challenges would require an official data revision uncovering a missed higher peak, though such discrepancies are rare post-midday; traders await the final daily KMA report for closure.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$65,438結束日期
2026-05-06市場開放時間
May 4, 2026, 12:49 PM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) observations at Gimhae International Airport station— the official resolution source for this market—confirm Busan's highest temperature reached 22°C midday on May 6 under clear skies and light southwest winds, anchoring trader consensus at virtually 100% implied probability. This mild peak aligns with short-range KMA model consensus projecting 21–27°C highs but tempered by typical early May climatology, where Busan averages 20–23°C amid continental high-pressure influence and sea-breeze moderation. Evening readings have dipped to 20–21°C with falling solar insolation, minimizing further warming. Realistic challenges would require an official data revision uncovering a missed higher peak, though such discrepancies are rare post-midday; traders await the final daily KMA report for closure.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions