Forecast models from the National Weather Service project a daytime high in the low-to-mid 70s Fahrenheit for Chicago on June 23, driven by a cooler northerly flow, persistent cloud cover, and scattered showers that limit solar heating. This setup contrasts with the climatological normal near 83°F and explains the market's concentration of probability on 72–75°F bins. Key variables include the precise timing of any afternoon convection, boundary-layer mixing, and potential for partial clearing, all of which introduce modest spread across guidance. Traders are weighting the latest model consensus and observed regional cooling trend against historical analogs for late-June lake-influenced regimes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Chicago on June 23?
Highest temperature in Chicago on June 23?
74-75°F 100.0%
61°F or below <1%
62-63°F <1%
64-65°F <1%
$35,872 交易量
$35,872 交易量
2026-06-23
61°F or below
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
Yes
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80°F or higher
No
74-75°F 100.0%
61°F or below <1%
62-63°F <1%
64-65°F <1%
$35,872 交易量
$35,872 交易量
2026-06-23
61°F or below
$73 交易量
No
62-63°F
$777 交易量
No
64-65°F
$1,923 交易量
No
66-67°F
$1,580 交易量
No
68-69°F
$3,559 交易量
No
70-71°F
$4,302 交易量
No
72-73°F
$8,055 交易量
No
74-75°F
$7,626 交易量
Yes
76-77°F
$3,341 交易量
No
78-79°F
$3,282 交易量
No
80°F or higher
$1,356 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the National Weather Service project a daytime high in the low-to-mid 70s Fahrenheit for Chicago on June 23, driven by a cooler northerly flow, persistent cloud cover, and scattered showers that limit solar heating. This setup contrasts with the climatological normal near 83°F and explains the market's concentration of probability on 72–75°F bins. Key variables include the precise timing of any afternoon convection, boundary-layer mixing, and potential for partial clearing, all of which introduce modest spread across guidance. Traders are weighting the latest model consensus and observed regional cooling trend against historical analogs for late-June lake-influenced regimes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jun 21, 2026, 9:04 PM ET
交易量
$35,872結束日期
2026-06-23市場開放時間
Jun 21, 2026, 9:04 PM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the National Weather Service project a daytime high in the low-to-mid 70s Fahrenheit for Chicago on June 23, driven by a cooler northerly flow, persistent cloud cover, and scattered showers that limit solar heating. This setup contrasts with the climatological normal near 83°F and explains the market's concentration of probability on 72–75°F bins. Key variables include the precise timing of any afternoon convection, boundary-layer mixing, and potential for partial clearing, all of which introduce modest spread across guidance. Traders are weighting the latest model consensus and observed regional cooling trend against historical analogs for late-June lake-influenced regimes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$35,872結束日期
2026-06-23市場開放時間
Jun 21, 2026, 9:04 PM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Forecast models from the National Weather Service project a daytime high in the low-to-mid 70s Fahrenheit for Chicago on June 23, driven by a cooler northerly flow, persistent cloud cover, and scattered showers that limit solar heating. This setup contrasts with the climatological normal near 83°F and explains the market's concentration of probability on 72–75°F bins. Key variables include the precise timing of any afternoon convection, boundary-layer mixing, and potential for partial clearing, all of which introduce modest spread across guidance. Traders are weighting the latest model consensus and observed regional cooling trend against historical analogs for late-June lake-influenced regimes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions