National Weather Service guidance pegs Dallas's March 24 high at around 86°F amid a potent upper-level ridge fostering south-southwesterly winds and warm air advection, driving trader consensus toward the upper 80s with 86-87°F and 88-89°F each at 26.5% implied probability. Differentiating factors include model ensemble spread—GFS projections nudge toward 90-91°F (24%) via deeper boundary layer mixing, while NAM runs favor 84-87°F due to potential late-day cloudiness from a stalling cold front. Above-average warmth (historical March 24 mean ~75°F) reflects persistent high pressure, though isolated showers could cap peaks; monitor afternoon updates from DFW observations for resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於3月24日達拉斯的最高溫度?
3月24日達拉斯的最高溫度?
86-87°F 27%
88-89°F 26%
90-91°F 24%
80-81°F 20%
華氏77度或以下
9%
78-79°F
14%
80-81°F
20%
82-83°F
19%
84-85°F
19%
86-87°F
27%
88-89°F
26%
90-91°F
24%
92-93°F
8%
94-95°F
7%
96°F或以上
9%
86-87°F 27%
88-89°F 26%
90-91°F 24%
80-81°F 20%
華氏77度或以下
9%
78-79°F
14%
80-81°F
20%
82-83°F
19%
84-85°F
19%
86-87°F
27%
88-89°F
26%
90-91°F
24%
92-93°F
8%
94-95°F
7%
96°F或以上
9%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Mar 20, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service guidance pegs Dallas's March 24 high at around 86°F amid a potent upper-level ridge fostering south-southwesterly winds and warm air advection, driving trader consensus toward the upper 80s with 86-87°F and 88-89°F each at 26.5% implied probability. Differentiating factors include model ensemble spread—GFS projections nudge toward 90-91°F (24%) via deeper boundary layer mixing, while NAM runs favor 84-87°F due to potential late-day cloudiness from a stalling cold front. Above-average warmth (historical March 24 mean ~75°F) reflects persistent high pressure, though isolated showers could cap peaks; monitor afternoon updates from DFW observations for resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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