Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Dallas recording a high temperature between 92°F and 97°F on March 22, driven primarily by the latest NOAA Weather Prediction Center guidance and ensemble model runs from GFS and ECMWF, which project peak highs of 94-96°F under a strong upper-level ridge fostering subsidence and adiabatic warming. Southerly winds advect warm, dry air from Mexico, amplifying solar insolation on sparse cloud cover, while antecedent dry soils reduce evaporative cooling. Differentiation among top bins hinges on a 1-2°F model spread: hi-res NAM forecasts nudge toward 96-97°F with afternoon mixing depths exceeding 2,000 feet, versus cooler Euro ensemble outliers at 92-93°F if marine stratus intrudes; historical March 22 records top out near 92°F, heightening upside risk for 98°F+.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於3月22日達拉斯的最高溫度?
3月22日達拉斯的最高溫度?
94-95°F 26%
96-97°F 24%
華氏98度或更高 21%
92-93°F 18%
$36,549 交易量
$36,549 交易量
華氏79度或以下
1%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
2%
88-89°F
2%
90-91°F
7%
92-93°F
18%
94-95°F
26%
96-97°F
24%
華氏98度或更高
21%
94-95°F 26%
96-97°F 24%
華氏98度或更高 21%
92-93°F 18%
$36,549 交易量
$36,549 交易量
華氏79度或以下
1%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
2%
88-89°F
2%
90-91°F
7%
92-93°F
18%
94-95°F
26%
96-97°F
24%
華氏98度或更高
21%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Mar 18, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Dallas recording a high temperature between 92°F and 97°F on March 22, driven primarily by the latest NOAA Weather Prediction Center guidance and ensemble model runs from GFS and ECMWF, which project peak highs of 94-96°F under a strong upper-level ridge fostering subsidence and adiabatic warming. Southerly winds advect warm, dry air from Mexico, amplifying solar insolation on sparse cloud cover, while antecedent dry soils reduce evaporative cooling. Differentiation among top bins hinges on a 1-2°F model spread: hi-res NAM forecasts nudge toward 96-97°F with afternoon mixing depths exceeding 2,000 feet, versus cooler Euro ensemble outliers at 92-93°F if marine stratus intrudes; historical March 22 records top out near 92°F, heightening upside risk for 98°F+.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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