Official observations from the National Weather Service at Denver International Airport (KDEN) confirm the highest temperature on May 5, 2026, reached 48-49°F, aligning with 100% market-implied probability as traders priced in a rare late-spring snowstorm's impact. A deepening upper-level low-pressure system drove cold air advection across the Front Range, capping early-morning peaks under persistent cloud cover, rain-snow mix, and eventual heavy snowfall totaling 4-8 inches in the metro area—well below the climatological May average high of 66°F. This positioned among Denver's coldest May 5 highs historically, akin to prior low-max records like 40°F in 1978. Realistic challenges would require official data revisions from NOAA archives, though model ensembles and real-time METAR reports showed high confidence in this outcome.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Denver on May 5?
Highest temperature in Denver on May 5?
48-49°F 100.0%
45°F or below <1%
46-47°F <1%
50-51°F <1%
$78,438 交易量
$78,438 交易量
2026-05-05
45°F or below
No
46-47°F
No
48-49°F
Yes
50-51°F
No
52-53°F
No
54-55°F
No
56-57°F
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
No
64°F or higher
No
48-49°F 100.0%
45°F or below <1%
46-47°F <1%
50-51°F <1%
$78,438 交易量
$78,438 交易量
2026-05-05
45°F or below
$7,038 交易量
No
46-47°F
$5,409 交易量
No
48-49°F
$22,289 交易量
Yes
50-51°F
$8,197 交易量
No
52-53°F
$8,147 交易量
No
54-55°F
$8,329 交易量
No
56-57°F
$10,349 交易量
No
58-59°F
$2,872 交易量
No
60-61°F
$2,589 交易量
No
62-63°F
$1,248 交易量
No
64°F or higher
$1,970 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the National Weather Service at Denver International Airport (KDEN) confirm the highest temperature on May 5, 2026, reached 48-49°F, aligning with 100% market-implied probability as traders priced in a rare late-spring snowstorm's impact. A deepening upper-level low-pressure system drove cold air advection across the Front Range, capping early-morning peaks under persistent cloud cover, rain-snow mix, and eventual heavy snowfall totaling 4-8 inches in the metro area—well below the climatological May average high of 66°F. This positioned among Denver's coldest May 5 highs historically, akin to prior low-max records like 40°F in 1978. Realistic challenges would require official data revisions from NOAA archives, though model ensembles and real-time METAR reports showed high confidence in this outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： May 3, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
交易量
$78,438結束日期
2026-05-05市場開放時間
May 3, 2026, 12:08 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the National Weather Service at Denver International Airport (KDEN) confirm the highest temperature on May 5, 2026, reached 48-49°F, aligning with 100% market-implied probability as traders priced in a rare late-spring snowstorm's impact. A deepening upper-level low-pressure system drove cold air advection across the Front Range, capping early-morning peaks under persistent cloud cover, rain-snow mix, and eventual heavy snowfall totaling 4-8 inches in the metro area—well below the climatological May average high of 66°F. This positioned among Denver's coldest May 5 highs historically, akin to prior low-max records like 40°F in 1978. Realistic challenges would require official data revisions from NOAA archives, though model ensembles and real-time METAR reports showed high confidence in this outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$78,438結束日期
2026-05-05市場開放時間
May 3, 2026, 12:08 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Official observations from the National Weather Service at Denver International Airport (KDEN) confirm the highest temperature on May 5, 2026, reached 48-49°F, aligning with 100% market-implied probability as traders priced in a rare late-spring snowstorm's impact. A deepening upper-level low-pressure system drove cold air advection across the Front Range, capping early-morning peaks under persistent cloud cover, rain-snow mix, and eventual heavy snowfall totaling 4-8 inches in the metro area—well below the climatological May average high of 66°F. This positioned among Denver's coldest May 5 highs historically, akin to prior low-max records like 40°F in 1978. Realistic challenges would require official data revisions from NOAA archives, though model ensembles and real-time METAR reports showed high confidence in this outcome.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions