Traders assign near-certain odds to a high of 26°C or higher in Jinan on August 11 because multiple forecast models and official guidance from Chinese meteorological services project afternoon maxima of 30–35°C under typical summer synoptic patterns. Mid-August climatology for the region features persistent subtropical high pressure, limited cloud cover, and southerly flow that routinely produces daily highs well above 30°C, consistent with historical observations exceeding 35°C. Recent model runs show no significant cooling mechanisms such as frontal passages or heavy precipitation that could suppress temperatures. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected shift in steering currents or rapid development of widespread cloud cover and rain, though current ensemble guidance places low probability on such outcomes before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月11日濟南氣溫最高？
8月11日濟南氣溫最高？
26°C or higher 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
最新
最新
2026-08-11
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
100%
26°C or higher 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
最新
最新
2026-08-11
16°C or below
$725 交易量
<1%
17°C
$2,077 交易量
<1%
18°C
$715 交易量
<1%
19°C
$1,006 交易量
<1%
20°C
$260 交易量
<1%
21°C
$195 交易量
<1%
22°C
$245 交易量
<1%
23°C
$195 交易量
<1%
24°C
$256 交易量
<1%
25°C
$799 交易量
<1%
26°C or higher
$1,569 交易量
100%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign near-certain odds to a high of 26°C or higher in Jinan on August 11 because multiple forecast models and official guidance from Chinese meteorological services project afternoon maxima of 30–35°C under typical summer synoptic patterns. Mid-August climatology for the region features persistent subtropical high pressure, limited cloud cover, and southerly flow that routinely produces daily highs well above 30°C, consistent with historical observations exceeding 35°C. Recent model runs show no significant cooling mechanisms such as frontal passages or heavy precipitation that could suppress temperatures. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected shift in steering currents or rapid development of widespread cloud cover and rain, though current ensemble guidance places low probability on such outcomes before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 10, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
交易量
$8,042結束日期
2026-08-11市場開放時間
Aug 10, 2026, 12:02 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign near-certain odds to a high of 26°C or higher in Jinan on August 11 because multiple forecast models and official guidance from Chinese meteorological services project afternoon maxima of 30–35°C under typical summer synoptic patterns. Mid-August climatology for the region features persistent subtropical high pressure, limited cloud cover, and southerly flow that routinely produces daily highs well above 30°C, consistent with historical observations exceeding 35°C. Recent model runs show no significant cooling mechanisms such as frontal passages or heavy precipitation that could suppress temperatures. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected shift in steering currents or rapid development of widespread cloud cover and rain, though current ensemble guidance places low probability on such outcomes before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$8,042結束日期
2026-08-11市場開放時間
Aug 10, 2026, 12:02 AM ETTraders assign near-certain odds to a high of 26°C or higher in Jinan on August 11 because multiple forecast models and official guidance from Chinese meteorological services project afternoon maxima of 30–35°C under typical summer synoptic patterns. Mid-August climatology for the region features persistent subtropical high pressure, limited cloud cover, and southerly flow that routinely produces daily highs well above 30°C, consistent with historical observations exceeding 35°C. Recent model runs show no significant cooling mechanisms such as frontal passages or heavy precipitation that could suppress temperatures. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected shift in steering currents or rapid development of widespread cloud cover and rain, though current ensemble guidance places low probability on such outcomes before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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