Official AEMET measurements recorded a maximum of 32°C in Madrid on May 23 at the Retiro station reference point, aligning precisely with the dominant market-implied outcome. This result stems from a warmer-than-average air mass that elevated daytime highs above seasonal norms of around 24–26°C, with model consensus from numerical forecasts supporting peak readings near or at this threshold under partly cloudy conditions and light winds. The 100% trader consensus reflects the completed observational data and minimal uncertainty in post-event verification. Revisions to the official record or disputes over station-specific criteria remain the only realistic paths that could alter resolution, though historical AEMET protocols make such shifts improbable.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Madrid on May 23?
Highest temperature in Madrid on May 23?
32°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$61,115 交易量
$61,115 交易量
2026-05-23
28°C or below
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
Yes
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C or higher
No
32°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$61,115 交易量
$61,115 交易量
2026-05-23
28°C or below
$2,981 交易量
No
29°C
$5,215 交易量
No
30°C
$8,843 交易量
No
31°C
$11,605 交易量
No
32°C
$9,119 交易量
Yes
33°C
$8,866 交易量
No
34°C
$6,978 交易量
No
35°C
$2,092 交易量
No
36°C
$1,637 交易量
No
37°C
$1,482 交易量
No
38°C or higher
$2,296 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official AEMET measurements recorded a maximum of 32°C in Madrid on May 23 at the Retiro station reference point, aligning precisely with the dominant market-implied outcome. This result stems from a warmer-than-average air mass that elevated daytime highs above seasonal norms of around 24–26°C, with model consensus from numerical forecasts supporting peak readings near or at this threshold under partly cloudy conditions and light winds. The 100% trader consensus reflects the completed observational data and minimal uncertainty in post-event verification. Revisions to the official record or disputes over station-specific criteria remain the only realistic paths that could alter resolution, though historical AEMET protocols make such shifts improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： May 21, 2026, 6:31 AM ET
交易量
$61,115結束日期
2026-05-23市場開放時間
May 21, 2026, 6:31 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official AEMET measurements recorded a maximum of 32°C in Madrid on May 23 at the Retiro station reference point, aligning precisely with the dominant market-implied outcome. This result stems from a warmer-than-average air mass that elevated daytime highs above seasonal norms of around 24–26°C, with model consensus from numerical forecasts supporting peak readings near or at this threshold under partly cloudy conditions and light winds. The 100% trader consensus reflects the completed observational data and minimal uncertainty in post-event verification. Revisions to the official record or disputes over station-specific criteria remain the only realistic paths that could alter resolution, though historical AEMET protocols make such shifts improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$61,115結束日期
2026-05-23市場開放時間
May 21, 2026, 6:31 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Official AEMET measurements recorded a maximum of 32°C in Madrid on May 23 at the Retiro station reference point, aligning precisely with the dominant market-implied outcome. This result stems from a warmer-than-average air mass that elevated daytime highs above seasonal norms of around 24–26°C, with model consensus from numerical forecasts supporting peak readings near or at this threshold under partly cloudy conditions and light winds. The 100% trader consensus reflects the completed observational data and minimal uncertainty in post-event verification. Revisions to the official record or disputes over station-specific criteria remain the only realistic paths that could alter resolution, though historical AEMET protocols make such shifts improbable.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions