PAGASA's regional forecast issued at 9:00 AM today projects a maximum temperature of 36°C across Metro Manila under light to moderate easterly winds and partly cloudy skies with isolated rainshowers or thunderstorms, aligning trader consensus at nearly 100% implied probability for this outcome. This positioning reflects the agency's model consensus during the dry season's peak, when high pressure dominates and typical May highs average 33–36°C based on historical PAGASA records from Quezon City and Port Area stations. Strong solar heating amid low humidity supports the 36°C cap, though realistic challenges include prolonged cloud cover suppressing peaks to 35°C or brief clear skies enabling a 37°C spike before evening cooling. Final resolution awaits official end-of-day observations from PAGASA monitoring sites.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Manila on May 3?
Highest temperature in Manila on May 3?
36°C 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$27,370 交易量
$27,370 交易量
2026-05-03
29°C or below
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
Yes
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C or higher
No
36°C 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$27,370 交易量
$27,370 交易量
2026-05-03
29°C or below
$1,612 交易量
No
30°C
$1,114 交易量
No
31°C
$1,187 交易量
No
32°C
$1,566 交易量
No
33°C
$2,660 交易量
No
34°C
$3,902 交易量
No
35°C
$3,655 交易量
No
36°C
$4,222 交易量
Yes
37°C
$3,293 交易量
No
38°C
$2,566 交易量
No
39°C or higher
$1,594 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.PAGASA's regional forecast issued at 9:00 AM today projects a maximum temperature of 36°C across Metro Manila under light to moderate easterly winds and partly cloudy skies with isolated rainshowers or thunderstorms, aligning trader consensus at nearly 100% implied probability for this outcome. This positioning reflects the agency's model consensus during the dry season's peak, when high pressure dominates and typical May highs average 33–36°C based on historical PAGASA records from Quezon City and Port Area stations. Strong solar heating amid low humidity supports the 36°C cap, though realistic challenges include prolonged cloud cover suppressing peaks to 35°C or brief clear skies enabling a 37°C spike before evening cooling. Final resolution awaits official end-of-day observations from PAGASA monitoring sites.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： May 1, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
交易量
$27,370結束日期
2026-05-03市場開放時間
May 1, 2026, 12:32 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.PAGASA's regional forecast issued at 9:00 AM today projects a maximum temperature of 36°C across Metro Manila under light to moderate easterly winds and partly cloudy skies with isolated rainshowers or thunderstorms, aligning trader consensus at nearly 100% implied probability for this outcome. This positioning reflects the agency's model consensus during the dry season's peak, when high pressure dominates and typical May highs average 33–36°C based on historical PAGASA records from Quezon City and Port Area stations. Strong solar heating amid low humidity supports the 36°C cap, though realistic challenges include prolonged cloud cover suppressing peaks to 35°C or brief clear skies enabling a 37°C spike before evening cooling. Final resolution awaits official end-of-day observations from PAGASA monitoring sites.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$27,370結束日期
2026-05-03市場開放時間
May 1, 2026, 12:32 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
PAGASA's regional forecast issued at 9:00 AM today projects a maximum temperature of 36°C across Metro Manila under light to moderate easterly winds and partly cloudy skies with isolated rainshowers or thunderstorms, aligning trader consensus at nearly 100% implied probability for this outcome. This positioning reflects the agency's model consensus during the dry season's peak, when high pressure dominates and typical May highs average 33–36°C based on historical PAGASA records from Quezon City and Port Area stations. Strong solar heating amid low humidity supports the 36°C cap, though realistic challenges include prolonged cloud cover suppressing peaks to 35°C or brief clear skies enabling a 37°C spike before evening cooling. Final resolution awaits official end-of-day observations from PAGASA monitoring sites.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions