Official Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) measurements from the Munich Airport station confirm the highest temperature reached exactly 14°C on April 20, 2026, peaking around 17:00 local time amid northerly winds and partly cloudy skies, driving Polymarket trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for this outcome. Pre-event ensemble forecasts from DWD, ECMWF, and GFS models had converged on 13–14°C highs, reflecting a cool air mass over Central Europe with low solar insolation and stable atmospheric conditions typical for mid-April in the region, where historical averages hover around 13°C. Realistic challenges would require rare DWD data revisions or measurement discrepancies, but verified observations lock in resolution with negligible uncertainty.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Munich on April 20?
14°C 100.0%
6°C or below <1%
7°C <1%
8°C <1%
$163,583 交易量
$163,583 交易量
6°C or below
No
7°C
No
8°C
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
Yes
15°C
No
16°C or higher
No
14°C 100.0%
6°C or below <1%
7°C <1%
8°C <1%
$163,583 交易量
$163,583 交易量
6°C or below
No
7°C
No
8°C
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
Yes
15°C
No
16°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Apr 18, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Official Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) measurements from the Munich Airport station confirm the highest temperature reached exactly 14°C on April 20, 2026, peaking around 17:00 local time amid northerly winds and partly cloudy skies, driving Polymarket trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for this outcome. Pre-event ensemble forecasts from DWD, ECMWF, and GFS models had converged on 13–14°C highs, reflecting a cool air mass over Central Europe with low solar insolation and stable atmospheric conditions typical for mid-April in the region, where historical averages hover around 13°C. Realistic challenges would require rare DWD data revisions or measurement discrepancies, but verified observations lock in resolution with negligible uncertainty.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於



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